The charts that matter: bond yields turn back up and a new bitcoin record
Bitcoin hit a new all-time high, while government bond yields turned back up. Here’s how that has affected the charts that matter most to the global economy.
Welcome back.
This week, we’re looking at the labour shortage. Workers are leaving their jobs at an astonishing rate, especially in the US – 4.3 million of them in August, that’s 2.9% of the workforce. Simon examines what’s behind the mass resignations, and what it all means for the economy.
Elsewhere, Matthew Partridge looks at investing in railways. They had a dismal pandemic as people stopped commuting yet, even though it may be unlikely that we’ll fall back into the same working patterns, it’s not all doom and gloom. Railways aren’t all about commuters – governments want more of us to take the train for long-distance journeys, and rail-freight – which accounts for much of rail companies’ revenues – has been largely unaffected by lockdowns. There are plenty of opportunities for investors, and Matthew picks some of the best in this week’s magazine. If you’re not already a subscriber, sign up here and get your first six issues free.
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Merryn is joined by Andrew Hunt in this week’s podcast. You may have seen his feature on fossil fuels in last week’s magazine. Andrew’s a “deep value” investor, finding companies in the unfashionable corners of the market where many institutional investors fear to tread. He’s got lots of ideas on what to buy – listen to the what he has to say here.
Here are the links for this week’s editions of Money Morning and other web articles you may have missed:
- Monday Money Morning: The Brics never lived up to their promise – but is now the time to buy?
- Tuesday Money Morning: Index tracker funds won't shield your wealth from inflation – here's why
- Merryn’s blog: Is how much money a manager invests in their own fund really that important?
- Wednesday Money Morning: If you want to get exposure to bitcoin, I have this great idea for you
- Thursday Money Morning: Will the government’s green plans hit the price of your home?
- Friday Money Morning: Green finance is set to be the most powerful financial repression tool yet
- Cryptocurrency roundup: Cryptocurrency roundup: bitcoin hits a new record high
Now for the charts of the week.
The charts that matter
Gold attempted to regain lost ground, but can’t manage to get above $1,800 an ounce.
The US dollar index (DXY – a measure of the strength of the dollar against a basket of the currencies of its major trading partners) fell further, though it bounced towards the end of the week.
The Chinese yuan (or renminbi) strengthened further against the dollar (when the red line is rising, the dollar is strengthening while the yuan is weakening).
The yield on the ten-year US government bond started climbing again after dipping last week.
(Ten-year US Treasury yield: three months)
The yield on the Japanese ten-year bond tailed off after earlier gains.
(Ten-year Japanese government bond yield: three months)
And the yield on the ten-year German Bund climbed tantalisingly close to positive territory, bubbling under at -0.09%.
Copper dropped – could the supply squeeze be fading?
The closely-related Aussie dollar mirrored copper’s movements.
Bitcoin investors were cheering as the cryptocurrency surpassed its previous highs to hit over $67,000.
US weekly initial jobless claims fell by 6,000 to 290,000. The four-week moving average fell by 15,250 to 319,750.
The oil price continued to head higher.
Amazon saw a strong rally.
Tesla continued its seemingly unstoppable rise, hitting $894.
Have a great weekend.
Ben
Sign up to Money Morning
Our team, led by award winning editors, is dedicated to delivering you the top news, analysis, and guides to help you manage your money, grow your investments and build wealth.
Ben studied modern languages at London University's Queen Mary College. After dabbling unhappily in local government finance for a while, he went to work for The Scotsman newspaper in Edinburgh. The launch of the paper's website, scotsman.com, in the early years of the dotcom craze, saw Ben move online to manage the Business and Motors channels before becoming deputy editor with responsibility for all aspects of online production for The Scotsman, Scotland on Sunday and the Edinburgh Evening News websites, along with the papers' Edinburgh Festivals website.
Ben joined MoneyWeek as website editor in 2008, just as the Great Financial Crisis was brewing. He has written extensively for the website and magazine, with a particular emphasis on alternative finance and fintech, including blockchain and bitcoin.
As an early adopter of bitcoin, Ben bought when the price was under $200, but went on to spend it all on foolish fripperies.
-
M&S and Tesco among those warning of a £7bn Budget hit
Seventy-nine UK retailers have written to Chancellor Rachel Reeves about possible price rises and job cuts - here is what it means
By Chris Newlands Published
-
How much does it cost to move home under the Labour government?
Home-moving costs are rising and could get more expensive once stamp duty thresholds drop in April 2025
By Marc Shoffman Published
-
UK wages grow at a record pace
The latest UK wages data will add pressure on the BoE to push interest rates even higher.
By Nicole García Mérida Published
-
Trapped in a time of zombie government
It’s not just companies that are eking out an existence, says Max King. The state is in the twilight zone too.
By Max King Published
-
America is in deep denial over debt
The downgrade in America’s credit rating was much criticised by the US government, says Alex Rankine. But was it a long time coming?
By Alex Rankine Published
-
UK economy avoids stagnation with surprise growth
Gross domestic product increased by 0.2% in the second quarter and by 0.5% in June
By Pedro Gonçalves Published
-
Bank of England raises interest rates to 5.25%
The Bank has hiked rates from 5% to 5.25%, marking the 14th increase in a row. We explain what it means for savers and homeowners - and whether more rate rises are on the horizon
By Ruth Emery Published
-
UK wage growth hits a record high
Stubborn inflation fuels wage growth, hitting a 20-year record high. But unemployment jumps
By Vaishali Varu Published
-
UK inflation remains at 8.7% ‒ what it means for your money
Inflation was unmoved at 8.7% in the 12 months to May. What does this ‘sticky’ rate of inflation mean for your money?
By John Fitzsimons Published
-
VICE bankruptcy: how did it happen?
Was the VICE bankruptcy inevitable? We look into how the once multibillion-dollar came crashing down.
By Jane Lewis Published