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Is the US in recession and does it matter?

Is the US in recession and does it matter?
There's a heated debate over whether the US is in recession or not. But why does it matter? John Stepek explains
29 Jul 2022
What the death of the “Greenspan put” means for investors

What the death of the “Greenspan put” means for investors
The Fed’s latest interest-rate rise shows that the “Greenspan put” – the idea that central banks will intervene if markets look like crashing – is dea…
28 Jul 2022
An era of high inflation has arrived

An era of high inflation has arrived
In recent weeks investors had started to bet on signs that inflation may be peaking – but we’re in a new economic age. Expect high inflation to be her…
20 Jul 2022
The Fed really is fighting inflation – so don’t expect an early end to the bear market

The Fed really is fighting inflation – so don’t expect an early end to the bear market
In an attempt to contain raging inflation, the Federal Reserve has raised US interest rates by 0.75 percentage points. And it’s going to keep on raisi…
16 Jun 2022
US inflation brings no respite for markets

US inflation brings no respite for markets
As US inflation hit a 40-year high, the benchmark S&P 500 stockmarket index slid into a bear market, down more than 20% since its 3 January high.
15 Jun 2022
Here’s why markets welcomed America’s big interest rate rise
Here’s why markets welcomed America’s big interest rate rise
The US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by half a percentage point – the biggest hike in 20 years. So why did markets rise? John Stepek explains …
5 May 2022
UBI which was once unthinkable is being rolled out around the world. What's going on?
UBI which was once unthinkable is being rolled out around the world. What's going on?
Universal basic income, the idea that everyone should be paid a liveable income by the state, no strings attached, was once for the birds. Now it seem…
8 Apr 2022

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The stockmarket rebound has nothing to do with Ukraine or the Federal Reserve
The stockmarket rebound has nothing to do with Ukraine or the Federal Reserve
Stockmarkets bounced yesterday after the Fed raised interest rates and hopes of peace in Ukraine rose. But more relevant was what happened in China. J…
17 Mar 2022
The US Federal Reserve must fight its own battles
The US Federal Reserve must fight its own battles
Getting involved in other political fights will undermine the credibility of America's central bank – and that could affect us all, says Matthew Lynn.
6 Mar 2022
How to short-sell Trump’s media empire
How to short-sell Trump’s media empire
Donald Trump’s would-be media empire looks like a promising target for short sellers. Matthew Partridge explains how to play it.
16 Feb 2022
The strong US jobs report is good news for the economy, but not so much for markets
The strong US jobs report is good news for the economy, but not so much for markets
January's US jobs report came in much stronger than anyone was expecting, with 467,000 new jobs added to the economy. But things might not be quite as…
7 Feb 2022
The Federal Reserve has turned inflation-fighter – how do you invest now?
The Federal Reserve has turned inflation-fighter – how do you invest now?
The US Federal Reserve has become much more hawkish on inflation and less concerned with the markets' reaction to rising interest rates. John Stepek e…
27 Jan 2022
US inflation still shows no sign of fading
US inflation still shows no sign of fading
Annual US inflation hit 7% in December, its highest since 1982, while core inflation rose to 5.5%. That suggests high price rises are going nowhere so…
21 Jan 2022
US inflation is at its highest since 1982. Why aren’t markets panicking?
US inflation is at its highest since 1982. Why aren’t markets panicking?
US inflation is at 7% – the last time it was this high interest rates were at 14%. But instead of panicking, markets just shrugged. John Stepek explai…
13 Jan 2022
In praise of profits – Ed Yardeni’s stirring defence of capitalism
In praise of profits – Ed Yardeni’s stirring defence of capitalism
It is commonly held that the average American's income has not risen for decades. But in truth, real earnings have been rising by 1.5% since 1995. And…
21 Dec 2021
The US central bank is winding down QE faster than planned – so why are markets bouncing?
The US central bank is winding down QE faster than planned – so why are markets bouncing?
The Federal Reserve is to speed up the pace at which it is winding down QE, its money-printing programme. But instead of going into shock, stockmarket…
16 Dec 2021
US inflation is at a near-40-year high. So why are markets so calm?
US inflation is at a near-40-year high. So why are markets so calm?
US inflation is rising at 6.8% a year – the highest level for nearly four decades. But markets still seem to be taking it in their stride. John Stepek…
13 Dec 2021
Interest rates: could Jerome Powell remove the markets’ “punch bowl”?
Interest rates: could Jerome Powell remove the markets’ “punch bowl”?
Markets have bounced on suggestion that the Omicron variant may be a less serious strain of Covid-19. But the Federal Reserve has turned hawkish, and …
10 Dec 2021
It’s official – inflation is no longer transitory
It’s official – inflation is no longer transitory
America’s central bank has had a change of heart on inflation, and wants to retire the word “transitory”. John Stepek explains what that means for mar…
1 Dec 2021
Jerome Powell’s poisoned chalice
Jerome Powell’s poisoned chalice
US president Joe Biden has nominated Jerome Powell for a second term in charge of the Federal Reserve. But it could prove a “poisoned chalice” for Pow…
26 Nov 2021
What do Turkey’s tumbling lira and America’s oil raid have in common?
What do Turkey’s tumbling lira and America’s oil raid have in common?
Joe Biden’s confirmation that Jerome Powell will stay on as Fed chair has sent jitters in markets from Turkey to Texas. John Stepek explains what’s go…
24 Nov 2021
Rising inflation puts central banks’ credibility at stake
Rising inflation puts central banks’ credibility at stake
Central banks are running out of excuses for not raising interest rates as inflation soars.
19 Nov 2021