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AUTHOR

Alex Rankine

The best bet in the base metals rally
Industrial metals

The best bet in the base metals rally

The prices of key industrial metals have been enjoying a spectacular rally.
3 Jul 2020
Has the US dollar had its day?
Currencies

Has the US dollar had its day?

Soaring debt levels and the failure of America to manage the Covid-19 crisis is undermining trust in the world’s reserve currency. 
3 Jul 2020
Emerging markets: investors‘ search for yield is back on
Emerging markets

Emerging markets: investors‘ search for yield is back on

After dumping a record $55bn of stocks and bonds in the eight weeks to mid-March, foreigners bought $4.1bn in emerging market assets in May. 
3 Jul 2020
Has the stockmarket bounce stalled?
Stockmarkets

Has the stockmarket bounce stalled?

US stocks have come under renewed pressure as America suffers a second wave of Covid infections.
2 Jul 2020
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UK stocks offer historic value
UK stockmarkets

UK stocks offer historic value

With global stockmarkets so expensive, UK stocks offer a rare pocket of value. 
28 Jun 2020
Investors beware: inflation will return
Inflation

Investors beware: inflation will return

Central bankers have unleashed unprecedented monetary stimulus in response to the Covid-19 pandemic. For the moment inflation is quiescent. But that w…
26 Jun 2020
Collateralised debt: will it be 2008 all over again?
Global Economy

Collateralised debt: will it be 2008 all over again?

Collateralised debt obligations (CDOs) triggered the 2008 financial crisis. Now we have CLOs, or collateralised loan obligations – securitised busines…
26 Jun 2020
Diamond glut won’t be forever
Silver and other precious metals

Diamond glut won’t be forever

Diamond stocks have been piling up after suppliers refused to cut prices. But demand could soon pick up.
19 Jun 2020
Japanese stocks are a two-way bet
Japan stockmarkets

Japanese stocks are a two-way bet

If a global recovery takes hold, Japan’s export-orientated businesses will enjoy a surge. But if growth stays weak, its corporate cash mountain will s…
19 Jun 2020
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Corporate bonds: central banks top up the punch bowl yet again
Corporate bonds

Corporate bonds: central banks top up the punch bowl yet again

The corporate bond market continues to deliver unlikely returns, as America’s Federal Reserve stepped in with unprecedented support.
18 Jun 2020
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Stockmarkets stumble – but the bulls charge on
Stockmarkets

Stockmarkets stumble – but the bulls charge on

Global markets registered their worst day in months last week, but US retail investors continue to pile in.
18 Jun 2020
European assets bounce as the eurozone's economy turns upwards
European stockmarkets

European assets bounce as the eurozone's economy turns upwards

Both the euro and European stocks have rallied strongly in the last few days.
12 Jun 2020
Chinese stocks are set for a bumpy ride
China stockmarkets

Chinese stocks are set for a bumpy ride

Chinese stocks have held up well during the pandemic, but the recovery has been uneven.
12 Jun 2020
US-China tension mounts
Stockmarkets

US-China tension mounts

Could a resumption of the US-China trade war sink the stockmarket?
5 Jun 2020
Global stockmarket bulls start to stampede
Stockmarkets

Global stockmarket bulls start to stampede

Global stockmarkets' rise suggest investors are optimistic that the economy is heading for better days. But bad earnings data could put their faith to…
5 Jun 2020
The oil price rallies – but a full recovery is a long way off
Oil price

The oil price rallies – but a full recovery is a long way off

Brent crude continued its rally early this week. But countries that depend on oil are still in a difficult spot.
5 Jun 2020
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UK set to see more extreme monetary policy
UK Economy

UK set to see more extreme monetary policy

The Bank of England looks likely to cut interest rates below zero at the end of this year.
4 Jun 2020
Can the UK housing market escape a slump?
Property

Can the UK housing market escape a slump?

The Bank of England is predicting a 16% slump in house prices.
29 May 2020
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European stocks are due a rebound
European stockmarkets

European stocks are due a rebound

European stockmarkets were cheered by the announcement of a Franc-German plan to issue a common European bond, which came as lockdowns were eased in m…
29 May 2020
Can Hong Kong survive as a financial hub?
Emerging markets

Can Hong Kong survive as a financial hub?

As Beijing tightens the screws on Hong Kong, many fear the death of the territory's autonomy – and of its status as a global financial hub.
28 May 2020
Gilt yields head below zero
Government bonds

Gilt yields head below zero

Yields on gilts – UK government bonds – have gone negative, meaning investors are paying the Treasury to borrow money from them.
28 May 2020
India’s vanishing economy
Emerging markets

India’s vanishing economy

With Prime Minister Narendra Modi having imposed one of the world’s toughest lockdowns, India's latest economic data is shocking.
16 May 2020
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Coronavirus has created a toxic backdrop for Russian stocks
European stockmarkets

Coronavirus has created a toxic backdrop for Russian stocks

Russia's stockmarket is down by about 13% since the start of 2020, with the country having the world’s third-highest number of confirmed cases opf Cov…
15 May 2020
The bond bubble keeps inflating
Government bonds

The bond bubble keeps inflating

Most major stockmarkets remain down on the year, but government bonds continue to gain ground.
15 May 2020
Investors' bullish mindset proves hard to shift
Stockmarkets

Investors' bullish mindset proves hard to shift

Despite the global economy being mired deep in recession, the stockmarket rally continues.
15 May 2020
Government bust-up drives Brazil off the rails
Emerging markets

Government bust-up drives Brazil off the rails

Brazil's government has descended into infighting, distracting attention from the Covid-19 pandemic and an economic crisis.
9 May 2020
Dividends dive – and some may never come back
Stockmarkets

Dividends dive – and some may never come back

More than a third of British companies have cut or scrapped dividends, and there will be more pain ahead. 
8 May 2020
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Stockmarkets are “flying in the dark”
Stockmarkets

Stockmarkets are “flying in the dark”

Fund managers remain bullish on equities, but nobody really knows what will happen in the stockmarkets.
8 May 2020
Oil market begins to rebalance
Oil

Oil market begins to rebalance

Oil prices remain historically depressed, but they have perked up a little this week.
7 May 2020
Keep an eye on steel and iron ore prices
Industrial metals

Keep an eye on steel and iron ore prices

Those hoping for a swift rebound should keep an eye on the steel market.
1 May 2020
Emerging market stocks: buy the "Asian Century"
Emerging markets

Emerging market stocks: buy the "Asian Century"

The Covid-19 pandemic aside, the long-term case for emerging Asian stocks remains sound, thanks to demographics and reform-minded governments.
1 May 2020
The world's massive debt pile will be inflated away
Global Economy

The world's massive debt pile will be inflated away

The huge pile of government and corporate debt is likely to be dealt with by a combination of high taxes, financial repression and inflation.
1 May 2020
Stockmarkets detach from reality
Stockmarkets

Stockmarkets detach from reality

We look likely to be heading for a massive recession. But UK and US stockmarkets are up by baffling amounts.
1 May 2020
Below zero: oil plunges into negative territory
Oil

Below zero: oil plunges into negative territory

US oil’s unprecedented collapse is mostly due to how it is traded – but also to the shock to global GDP, says Alex Rankine.
23 Apr 2020
Global economy could lose $5.5trn – more than the GDP of Japan
Global Economy

Global economy could lose $5.5trn – more than the GDP of Japan

Cumulative GDP losses to the global economy to the end of 2021 could reach $5.5trn, more than the entire GDP of Japan.
17 Apr 2020
The oil-price war is not over – it's just on hold
Oil

The oil-price war is not over – it's just on hold

Both Opec and Russia have agreed to restrict oil output by ten million barrels per day from next month. But the oil price war isn't over yet.
16 Apr 2020
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