What the Deliveroo IPO can teach us about investing
Losing money on an investment is painful, says John Stepek, but it can force us to look at our process in a way that making money doesn’t.
The Deliveroo initial public offering (IPO) was meant to be the moment at which London unleashed a tech unicorn to rival those constantly springing up across the Atlantic. Instead it was a dreadful flop. Matthew Lynn looks at three lessons the City could learn from the disappointment in this week's magazine, but for me the key point is his first one – it’s all about the price. It’s heartening to see that even in a market like this, where some people will pay millions of dollars for the non-exclusive right to gaze upon a digital artwork by a hitherto unknown artist, they’ll still turn their noses up at an overpriced takeaway delivery firm. Founder Will Shu can at least comfort himself with the fact that the share price actually rose when full, unrestricted trading began in the shares on Wednesday.
However, that won’t be much consolation for those of his customers who bought in at 390p. It’s highly unlikely that anyone invested their life savings (the maximum investment was £1,000), so most will probably write it off and chalk it up to experience. But it would be a shame to just let this opportunity go. Losing money on an investment is painful, but it can force you to look at your process in a way that making money simply doesn’t. So if you did invest, the question here would be: why did you buy Deliveroo at 390p? Does your rationale still hold? Would you buy more (if you could) at the current price? If not, is there really nowhere more promising that you could invest that £750, say, than leaving it sitting in Deliveroo?
I’m not saying that you should hold or sell either way. But confronting this dilemma head-on in a relatively low-stakes situation like this could be a really useful learning experience, particularly if you’re just starting out as an investor. An under-rated trait of successful investors is an ability to control their emotions and to think clearly even when losing money (or suddenly making a lot of it).
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
That leads us on to the other lesson from Deliveroo – that successful investing in individual equities is hard work. We frequently criticise fund managers here at MoneyWeek – the majority of managers still struggle to beat the market consistently (if at all), partly because they have the added hurdle of earning back their fees on top. Yet there’s a reason they struggle. Free markets with lots of participants are by and large pretty good at valuing things, whether that’s shares, commodities or fancy jewellery. Yes, they’re prone to manic phases (arguably the US market is bubbly right now, though not so the UK market). But overall the wisdom of crowds does a good job of incorporating information that’s publicly available (and some that isn’t) into prices.
In turn, that means you need to do a lot of digging to find individual stocks the market has mis-priced. If you’re not able or willing to do that legwork, it’s absolutely fine to stick with worrying more about asset allocation (how you split your money between equities, bonds, property, cash and gold) and to leave the stock picking to carefully chosen fund managers, or simply find the cheapest index trackers.
If you’d like to learn more, I interviewed Stephen Clapham, analyst and author, on this topic for our podcast this week. Listen here, and get a 30% discount code for his excellent stock picking guide, The Smart Money Method.
Sign up to Money Morning
Our team, led by award winning editors, is dedicated to delivering you the top news, analysis, and guides to help you manage your money, grow your investments and build wealth.
John Stepek is a senior reporter at Bloomberg News and a former editor of MoneyWeek magazine. He graduated from Strathclyde University with a degree in psychology in 1996 and has always been fascinated by the gap between the way the market works in theory and the way it works in practice, and by how our deep-rooted instincts work against our best interests as investors.
He started out in journalism by writing articles about the specific business challenges facing family firms. In 2003, he took a job on the finance desk of Teletext, where he spent two years covering the markets and breaking financial news.
His work has been published in Families in Business, Shares magazine, Spear's Magazine, The Sunday Times, and The Spectator among others. He has also appeared as an expert commentator on BBC Radio 4's Today programme, BBC Radio Scotland, Newsnight, Daily Politics and Bloomberg. His first book, on contrarian investing, The Sceptical Investor, was released in March 2019. You can follow John on Twitter at @john_stepek.
-
House prices rise 2.9% – will the recovery continue?
House prices grew by 2.9% on an annual basis in September. Will Budget policies and ‘higher-for-longer’ rates dent the recovery?
By Katie Williams Published
-
Nvidia earnings: what to expect
Nvidia announces earnings after market close on 20 November. What should investors expect from the semiconductor giant?
By Dan McEvoy Published
-
Investing in a dangerous world: key takeaways from the MoneyWeek Summit
If you couldn’t get a ticket to MoneyWeek’s summit, here’s an overview of what you missed
By MoneyWeek Published
-
DCC: a top-notch company going cheap
DCC has a stellar long-term record and promising prospects. It has been unfairly marked down
By Jamie Ward Published
-
Investment trusts could benefit from more optimism
Give yourself an edge with investment trusts. Finding winning stocks is no mean feat.
By Max King Published
-
How investors can use options to navigate a turbulent world
Explainer Options can be a useful solution for investors to protect and grow their wealth in volatile times.
By James Proudlock Published
-
Why the MoneyWeek ETF portfolio won't need to change
Our long-running ETF strategy won’t be placing any bets yet about what Donald Trump will do in his new term
By Cris Sholto Heaton Published
-
Oil sector off the boil: what happens now?
Oil giants BP and Shell are starting to struggle amid a glut of black gold. And growth in demand looks likely to slow
By Dr Matthew Partridge Published
-
Invest in Hilton Foods: a tasty UK food supplier
Hilton Foods is a keenly priced opportunity in an unglamorous sector
By Dr Matthew Partridge Published
-
HSBC stocks jump – is its cost-cutting plan already paying off?
HSBC's reorganisation has left questions unanswered, but otherwise the banking sector is in robust health
By Dr Matthew Partridge Published