Sheepwash is a tiny village in North Devon with a population of just 250 or so people.
The Sheepwash Chronicle is the local magazine for and about the residents. It’s not what you might call the mainstream media.
I have some close family down there, so I visit quite often. Last week I stumbled across an article in the Harvest 2021 edition. It might be the best article I’ve ever read about green energy and our future electricity needs.
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
I thought I’d discuss it today.
Nuclear energy is clean and safe – so why is it so hated?
It’s by Dr Philip Bratby of the Countryside Charity and it’s called: Small Modular Reactors - An Opinion Piece. The ultimate low-carbon renewables.
It’s worth declaring up front that Bratby is pro-nuclear. It often seems that the energy debate is no longer about what is the cleanest, most-efficient energy source; the debate has been politicised and corrupted, often by those with their snouts in the trough of government subsidy, so anyone who suggests that fossil fuels have done a lot for mankind or that nuclear power might not be all bad is immediately branded a heretic.
But Bratby’s views seem particularly pertinent at the moment because of the current energy crisis in which we find ourselves, spiking natural gas prices and the fact that only recently, with no wind, the government has had to switch coal-fired plants back on.
I googled Bratby, and there isn’t much online. He has a first class honours degree in physics from the Imperial College of Science and Technology (London University), a doctorate in physics from Sheffield University, he worked in the military and civil nuclear industry as a energy consultant, and is now semi-retired.
There are a couple of anti-nuclear websites that have a go at him, using straw man arguments, quoting out of context and so on, so I won’t stoop to mention them here. Let’s get to the article.
If the government has its way, says Bratby, we will need much more electricity for heating and for charging all those millions of electric vehicles. To meet these needs, the electricity supply will need to be both expanded and more reliable.
Commercial nuclear power stations have been operating for nearly 70 years. They have provided huge amounts of reliable and affordable “clean” and almost-infinitely-renewable electricity. Nuclear energy has the best safety record of any energy technology. All environmental concerns, such as waste disposal, have been solved.
So why hasn't nuclear power been widely accepted?
One reason is that over the course of many years environmental activists have persuaded much of the public, many politicians, and the media that nuclear energy is unsafe. However, some activists have recently changed their minds.
For example James Lovelock, who proposed the Gaia hypothesis, has said that “nuclear power is the only green solution”. Bryony (now Baroness) Worthington, a lead author of the Climate Change Act, who once said that she was “passionately opposed to nuclear power” has more recently said of nuclear power: “I urge you on moral, ethical, scientific and environmental grounds to rethink your opposition to it”.
One-time anti-nuclear campaigner, environmental activist and author Mark Lynas, who has said that he “grew up hating nuclear power” has now said that “continuing to oppose nuclear was a mistake… it’s extraordinarily safe… and we must learn to love nuclear power”.
So why do some environmental organisations still oppose it and prefer environmentally-destructive wind and solar farms coupled with batteries?
The reason, says Bratby, is not that it doesn't produce abundant low-carbon energy, but that it does, and that conflicts with their aim: to halt economic growth.
Now – and this is Dominic speaking – I think there’s a lot of truth to that last statement. I often feel that that’s the main agenda behind a lot (not all) of authoritarian activism. The agenda, as well as to impose their views on others and dictate how to behave, is to stop capitalism, progress and economic activity altogether. Hence the hashtag #endcapitalism which you find everywhere.
Anyway back to Bratby: thanks to anti-nuclear propaganda, regulators require multiple, excessive layers of safety in nuclear plant design that needlessly pushes up costs. The regulatory process is complex, slow and cumbersome, and so takes years to complete.
The long lead time between building and operation adds to expense. And so political uncertainty is one reason many recent proposals for nuclear power stations in the UK have been abandoned, leaving the twin power stations at Hinkley C in Somerset as the only ongoing project.
The future of nuclear power
To overcome some of these problems, the focus for future nuclear power stations has switched to SMRs – small modular reactors.
SMRs have been in operation for over 60 years in submarines, aircraft carriers and ice-breakers, but only in the last few years has serious attention been paid to developing land-based SMRs for commercial electricity generation.
The advantages of SMRs over current nuclear power stations are legion:
• They use relatively simple, proven technology.
• They can be manufactured in factories and built on site rapidly.
• They are safer than current nuclear power stations.
• They occupy very little land and have little impact on the landscape. Some can even be constructed underground – surely preferable to wind turbines and solar farms.
• They provide generation that can be controlled to provide baseload and load-follow capability.
• Their output is not weather-dependent.
• They are synchronous and the large rotating generators provide inertia, which is a positive benefit to the reliability and stability of the grid.
• They use very high energy density fuel and thus require a lot less land. A 440MW SMR would require about 25 acres of land and would produce about 3.5TWh of electricity per year (enough for about 1.2 million homes). A solar farm would require about 13,000 acres (20 square miles) for the same output; wind farms would need about 32,000 acres (50 square miles).
There are about half a million homes in Devon. So Devon's domestic electricity needs could easily be met by a single 440MW SMR occupying a small area of land. By contrast, a huge area of Devon's farmland would need to be covered in solar panels or wind turbines to provide the same amount of electricity. Even then, alternative sources would be needed for when the wind doesn't blow or the sun doesn't shine.
I read that the biggest solar farm in the country is planned for Holsworthy, about 15 miles up the road from Sheepwash: 76,000 panels over 165 acres. It won’t come close to meeting Devon’s electricity needs.
In the UK, it is envisaged that SMRs would be constructed on the redundant sites of closed nuclear and coal-fired power stations, ie, on brownfield land where grid connections are readily available.
If they really are such a silver bullet, SMRs are going to happen whether activists oppose them or not. A shortage of energy will demand it. You don’t have to watch videos of Extinction Rebellion blocking traffic on social media to know that the British public have lost patience.
How to invest in SMRs
Several competing designs are being developed around the world, ranging in size from tens of megawatts to 500MW and of many different design concepts. But at the moment none of the pure play SMR companies are publicly listed.
RollsRoyce (LSE: RR) has built seven generations of SMRs for use in nuclear submarines and, with its design for a 440MW SMR, it is a contender – so that is one option. It’s about to land a load of orders from Eastern Europe, I hear, but it is not exactly a pure SMR play.
Another contender is NuScale, an American company, which is unfortunately still private. There is a way to get exposure to NuScale, however. The majority shareholder is engineering company Fluor Corp (NYSE: FLR). It has been through the wars a bit, and its share price is low so it might represent an opportunity - though again it is not a pure play.
Daylight Robbery – How Tax Shaped The Past And Will Change The Future is now out in paperback at Amazon and all good bookstores with the audiobook, read by Dominic, on Audible and elsewhere.
Dominic Frisby (“mercurially witty” – the Spectator) is the world’s only financial writer and comedian. He is MoneyWeek’s main commentator on gold, commodities, currencies and cryptocurrencies. He is the author of the books Bitcoin: the Future of Money? and Life After The State. He also co-wrote the documentary Four Horsemen, and presents the chat show, Stuff That Interests Me.
His show 2016 Let’s Talk About Tax was a huge hit at the Edinburgh Festival and Penguin Random House have since commissioned him to write a book on the subject – Daylight Robbery – the past, present and future of tax will be published later this year. His 2018 Edinburgh Festival show, Dominic Frisby's Financial Gameshow, won rave reviews. Dominic was educated at St Paul's School, Manchester University and the Webber-Douglas Academy Of Dramatic Art.
You can follow him on Twitter @dominicfrisby
SIPP holders to get cash warnings and be offered default funds
News Providers will be required to offer investors a default fund and must warn customers of the inflationary risk of cash savings the regulator has said. What the new rules mean for your retirement pot?
By Marc Shoffman Published
Zoopla: Asking price discounts hit a five-year high – is now the time to buy a property?
News Zoopla’s October House Price Index shows sellers are accepting discounts of 5.5% on average to secure a sale – we reveal where homeowners are taking the biggest asking price cuts
By Marc Shoffman Published
Halifax: House price slump continues as prices slide for the sixth consecutive month
UK house prices fell again in September as buyers returned, but the slowdown was not as fast as anticipated, latest Halifax data shows. Where are house prices falling the most?
By Kalpana Fitzpatrick Published
Rents hit a record high - but is the opportunity for buy-to-let investors still strong?
UK rent prices have hit a record high with the average hitting over £1,200 a month says Rightmove. Are there still opportunities in buy-to-let?
By Marc Shoffman Published
Pension savers turn to gold investments
Investors are racing to buy gold to protect their pensions from a stock market correction and high inflation, experts say
By Ruth Emery Published
Where to find the best returns from student accommodation
Student accommodation can be a lucrative investment if you know where to look.
By Marc Shoffman Published
Best investing apps
We round up the best investing apps. Looking for an easy-to-use app to help you start investing, keep track of your portfolio or make trades on the go?
By Ruth Emery Last updated
The top funds to invest in - November 2023
Tips Investors are focused on income strategies and FTSE heavyweights. We look at what investors have been adding to their portfolios in the last month
By Vaishali Varu Last updated
The world’s best bargain stocks
Searching for bargain stocks with Alec Cutler of the Orbis Global Balanced Fund, who tells Andrew Van Sickle which sectors are being overlooked.
By Andrew Van Sickle Published
Revealed: the cheapest cities to own a home in Britain
New research reveals the cheapest cities to own a home, taking account of mortgage payments, utility bills and council tax
By Ruth Emery Published