Halifax: first annual drop in house prices since 2012
Higher mortgage costs and inflation worries hitting confidence among house buyers, leading to house price falls.
The annual rate of house price growth turned negative in May, the first time this has happened since 2012, the latest house price index from Halifax has revealed.
In the 12 months to May, typical house prices declined by 1%, down from the 0.1% annual rate of growth recorded in the year to April. As a result the average property is now worth £286,532.
For May itself, house prices remained largely static, dropping by just £130 from the average value of £286,662 recorded in April.
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Kim Kinnaird, director of Halifax Mortgages, said that the annual rate of decline was down to the comparison with “strong house prices this time last year”, when the market continued to be buoyant heading into the summer months.
She continued: “Property prices have now fallen by about £3,000 over the last 12 months and are down around £7,500 from the peak in August. But prices are still £5,000 up since the end of last year, and £25,000 above the level of two years ago.”
There is no shortage of house price indices in the UK, and between them they have told a varied tale into how the housing market is currently performing.
Why have house prices fallen?
A big factor in the drop in the average value of homes over the last year has been the mortgage market.
We have seen mortgage rates become far more expensive, and that is impacting the ability of potential buyers to borrow, particularly when their finances are already under additional pressure due to the persistently high rate of inflation.
Kinnaird noted that financial markets are now expecting the Bank of England’s base rate to increase above 5% for the first time since 2008, as the Bank of England attempts to bring down inflation, and those forecasts have led to interest rates on fixed rate mortgages being increased once again.
She added: “This will inevitably impact confidence in the housing market as both buyers and sellers adjust their expectations, and latest industry figures for both mortgage approvals and completed transactions show demand is cooling.”
Where are house prices falling the most?
Southern England has seen the most pronounced drops in house prices over the last year.
In the South East prices are down by 1.6%, to an average of £385,943, for example, while the South West has seen prices drop by 1.4% to a typical £301,079.
Greater London has also seen larger than average falls, with prices down by 1.2%
Halifax found that every region of the UK had seen annual house price growth in May weaken when compared with April, except in Wales where growth was unchanged at 1.1%.
The region that has performed the best over the last year has been the West Midlands, where prices are up by 2.7% to an average of £251,137. It is followed by Yorkshire & Humberside, where prices have increased by 2.3% to an average of £205,035.
What types of houses are seeing house prices fall?
Existing houses have dropped starkly in value, with an annual rate of decline of 1.9% according to Halifax. By contrast, new build properties grew in value by 2.8%, though it’s notable that this is nonetheless the weakest rate seen for nearly three years.
Detached houses were the only property type to see annual growth, with values up by 0.4%. Flats saw the sharpest falls at 1.9%, followed by terraced (-1%) and semi-detached houses (-0.5%).
Sign up to Money Morning
Our team, led by award winning editors, is dedicated to delivering you the top news, analysis, and guides to help you manage your money, grow your investments and build wealth.
John Fitzsimons has been writing about finance since 2007, and is a former editor of Mortgage Solutions and loveMONEY. Since going freelance in 2016 he has written for publications including The Sunday Times, The Mirror, The Sun, The Daily Mail and Forbes, and is committed to helping readers make more informed decisions about their money.
-
Christmas at Chatsworth: review of The Cavendish Hotel at Baslow
MoneyWeek Travel Matthew Partridge gets into the festive spirit at The Cavendish Hotel at Baslow and the Christmas market at Chatsworth
By Dr Matthew Partridge Published
-
Tycoon Truong My Lan on death row over world’s biggest bank fraud
Property tycoon Truong My Lan has been found guilty of a corruption scandal that dwarfs Malaysia’s 1MDB fraud and Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto scam
By Jane Lewis Published
-
Halifax: House price slump continues as prices slide for the sixth consecutive month
UK house prices fell again in September as buyers returned, but the slowdown was not as fast as anticipated, latest Halifax data shows. Where are house prices falling the most?
By Kalpana Fitzpatrick Published
-
Rents hit a record high - but is the opportunity for buy-to-let investors still strong?
UK rent prices have hit a record high with the average hitting over £1,200 a month says Rightmove. Are there still opportunities in buy-to-let?
By Marc Shoffman Published
-
Pension savers turn to gold investments
Investors are racing to buy gold to protect their pensions from a stock market correction and high inflation, experts say
By Ruth Emery Published
-
Where to find the best returns from student accommodation
Student accommodation can be a lucrative investment if you know where to look.
By Marc Shoffman Published
-
Best investing apps
Looking for an easy-to-use app to help you start investing, keep track of your portfolio or make trades on the go? We round up the best investing apps
By Ruth Emery Last updated
-
The world’s best bargain stocks
Searching for bargain stocks with Alec Cutler of the Orbis Global Balanced Fund, who tells Andrew Van Sickle which sectors are being overlooked.
By Andrew Van Sickle Published
-
Revealed: the cheapest cities to own a home in Britain
New research reveals the cheapest cities to own a home, taking account of mortgage payments, utility bills and council tax
By Ruth Emery Published
-
UK recession: How to protect your portfolio
As the UK recession is confirmed, we look at ways to protect your wealth.
By Henry Sandercock Last updated