Daniel Hilton
The energy regulator Ofgem sets the energy price cap every quarter, which then dictates how much millions of customers pay for their gas and electricity.
The energy price cap, covering April to June, increased by 6.4% on 1 April, in a major blow for billpayers.
It came at the same time as hikes in many other household bills like water, council tax, and broadband in what has become known as ‘Awful April’.
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Thankfully, some respite is on the horizon after Ofgem announced the price cap will fall by 7% in the period between July and September, giving some welcome breathing space for consumers.
But what is the energy price cap and how exactly does it impact your gas and electricity bill?
Introduced in 2019, the energy price cap was brought in to set a limit on how much suppliers can charge customers on standard variable tariffs for energy. It was a protective measure to ensure households do not get ripped off with extortionate prices.
The energy price cap increased twice in the first two quarters of 2025, but will fall in the third.
What is the Ofgem energy price cap?
The Ofgem energy price cap sets the maximum unit rates energy firms can charge for standard variable rate tariffs. It caps the price per kilowatt hour (kWh) for gas and electricity, along with the standing charges for each fuel. It is not a cap on your total energy bill. What you'll pay is mostly determined by your energy usage.
It is set every three months, and is mostly based on wholesale prices. Supplier profit margins and network infrastructure maintenance costs are also used to set the rate.
The cap currently applies to around 22 million households in England, Wales and Scotland, according to Ofgem. Northern Ireland has a tariff review process instead of a price cap.
Under the current cap, which runs from April to June, the average home pays an annual figure of £1,849 for typical usage. When the price cap falls in July, the typical household will have an annual bill of around £1,720.
This figure is purely illustrative. The amount you pay will vary by usage, and also depend on where you live in the country, as each region has a private operator that runs the mains networks.
Here are the average unit rates per kilowatt hour (kWh) and daily standing charges under the current price cap (April to June) and the forthcoming price cap (July to September), for Direct Debit billpayers:
| Header Cell - Column 0 | Energy price cap 1 April to 30 June 2025 | Energy price cap 1 July to 30 September 2025 |
|---|---|---|
Electricity | 27.03 pence per kWh | 25.73 pence per kWh |
Standing charge | 53.80 pence daily | 51.37 pence daily |
Gas | 6.99 pence per kWh | 6.33 pence per kWh |
Standing charge | 32.67 pence daily | 29.82 pence daily |
Source: Ofgem
The energy price cap was initially put in place to protect vulnerable households. Before the energy crisis, you would only drop onto a variable tariff if you let your fixed deal expire and didn't switch to a new deal. To prevent consumers in this situation from being overcharged, Theresa May's government brought in the cap.
However, when the energy crisis hit in late 2021, almost all fixed deals disappeared from the market. This was down to surging wholesale prices, which meant dozens of providers went bust, including Bulb Energy, Zog Energy and Pure Planet. The fixes that were on offer tended to be much more expensive than variable rate tariffs.
So, most households dropped onto variable rates (and therefore, the price cap) when their fixes expired. The only time people didn't was between October 2022 and June 2023, when the government operated the Energy Price Guarantee (EPG).
The EPG acted as a safety net. It effectively subsidised suppliers so consumers did not see their bills rocket when the Ofgem price cap soared in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Once wholesale costs fell, and the Ofgem cap went below the rate of the EPG in July 2023, households once again found themselves on the price cap rate.
Since then, fixed-rate energy deals have returned, giving customers more choice if they want to try and beat April’s price hike and get certainty over their payments going forward.
When is the next Ofgem energy price cap announcement?
Ofgem will announce the next energy price cap on 27 August. The cap will run from 1 October to 31 December 2025.
What’s happening with standing charges?
One major criticism of the energy price cap is how it sets standing charges. These fees are used by energy companies to pay for the critical infrastructure that powers our homes.
Standing charges mean you can pay hundreds of pounds a year before you’ve even used any gas or electricity. They also vary depending on where you live in the country. For example, the April price cap reduced standing charges for most areas, but some customers in London and the North Wales and Mersey region saw an overall increase of up to £20 a year.
Ofgem recently asked for the public's views about whether it should introduce new rules on standing charges.
The regulator consulted on plans to force energy firms to offer tariffs that have zero standing charge at the start of 2025.
If enacted, the reforms would mean energy suppliers would have a dual pricing offer – with, or without, a standing charge – to give customers greater choice and reduce energy bills for some households. The one without a standing charge would have a higher price for each unit of energy. Both tariffs would fall under the existing price cap system.
However, the plans have been criticised by some charities and energy groups for their complexity. They also argue that standing charges won’t become more affordable as they will just be shifted to another part of the energy bill.
Will energy prices fall?
Energy consultancy Cornwall Insight predicts that bills will rise slightly in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Its very early forecasts calculated from figures at close of play on 21 May suggest that the price cap for October to December will rise by £6.58 (0.38%) to £1,726.58 for an average annual bill, based on typical usage.
If this turns out to be correct, then energy bills will largely remain the same for most households, only increasing by a very small amount in those last three months of the year.
Cornwall’s prediction is largely based on predictions for wholesale energy prices, as well as myriad other factors. However, as the October price cap will be announced at the end of August, circumstances could easily change.
The consultancy said: “While our current forecast points to little overall change in the October cap, there are still three months to go, and much could change – particularly in the wholesale market.
“Adding to this, several policy decisions are being taken by Ofgem prior to the winter cap being announced, including the finalisation of longer-term arrangements for covering the supplier costs associated with consumer debt.
“These developments have the potential to have a notable influence on the level of the October cap.”
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