The regulator Ofgem sets the energy price cap every quarter, which dictates how much millions of customers pay for their gas and electricity.
The cap fell by 7% on 1 July, slightly easing the pain for customers on variable tariffs after three consecutive quarters of price hikes in October 2024, January and April.
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“Households are still paying far more for their energy than they were before the pandemic, with the current outlook showing little prospect of a meaningful drop over the next few years.”
What is the Ofgem energy price cap?
Introduced in 2019, the energy price cap was brought in to set a limit on how much suppliers could charge customers on standard variable tariffs (SVT) for energy. It is a protective measure which aims to shield households from extortionate prices.
It caps the price per kilowatt hour (kWh) for gas and electricity, along with the standing charges for each fuel. It is not a cap on your total energy bill. What you'll pay is mostly determined by your energy usage.
The cap is set every three months, mostly based on wholesale prices. Supplier profit margins and network infrastructure maintenance costs are also used to set the rate.
Around 35 million households in England, Wales and Scotland are on SVTs, according to data from Ofgem in April, meaning the amount they pay for their energy goes up and down with the price cap.
The remaining 19 million households are on fixed rate tariffs, where you lock in to pay a certain amount for your energy for a set period of time (usually 12 months) regardless of whether or not the price cap goes up or down.
We explore whether you should switch to a fixed rate tariff in a separate article.
Under the current cap, the average household on a dual-fuel SVT, paying by direct debit, will be £1,720 per year for typical usage between July and September.
This typical bill figure is purely illustrative. The amount you pay will vary by usage. It will also depend on where you live in the country, as each region has a private operator that runs the mains networks.
This price cap for the final quarter of 2025 (October to December) will be announced by Ofgem by 27 August.
There is no price cap in Northern Ireland, instead there is a tariff review process.
Here are the average unit rates per kilowatt hour (kWh) and daily standing charges under the current price cap (July to September). We have also included Cornwall Insight’s latest forecasts for October.
| Row 0 - Cell 0 | July-September price cap | October-December price cap (forecast) |
Electricity unit cost | 25.73 pence per kWh | 26.17 pence per kWh |
Electricity standing charge | 51.37 pence per day | 51 pence per day |
Gas unit cost | 6.33 pence per kWh | 6.02 pence per kWh |
Gas standing charge | 29.82 pence per day | 30 pence per day |
Source: Ofgem (confirmed figures) and Cornwall Insight (forecasts). All figures are national averages. Your actual unit rates depend on where in the UK you live. You can find out more about prices in your area on the energy regulator's website.
The history of the price cap
The energy price cap was initially put in place to protect vulnerable households. Before the energy crisis, you would only drop onto a variable tariff if you let your fixed deal expire and didn't switch to a new deal.
To prevent consumers in this situation from being overcharged, Theresa May's government brought in the cap in 2019.
However, when the energy crisis hit in late 2021, almost all fixed deals disappeared from the market. This was down to surging wholesale prices, which meant dozens of providers went bust, including Bulb Energy, Zog Energy and Pure Planet.
The fixes that were on offer at this time tended to be much more expensive than variable rate tariffs. As a result, most households dropped onto variable rates and were protected by the cap when their fixes expired.
Things changed again between October 2022 and June 2023, when the government introduced the Energy Price Guarantee (EPG) as a safety net at the height of the energy crisis.
This effectively subsidised suppliers, putting a ceiling on how high charges could go. While the Ofgem price cap soared to a peak of £4,059 per year between January and March 2023, based on typical usage, the average household found itself paying closer to £2,500 per year thanks to the EPG.
Once wholesale costs fell, and the Ofgem cap went below the rate of the EPG in July 2023, households once again found themselves on the price cap rate.
When is the next Ofgem energy price cap announcement?
Ofgem will announce the next energy price cap by 27 August. It will then come into play from 1 October to 31 December 2025.
What’s happening with standing charges?
One major criticism of the energy price cap is how it sets standing charges. These fees are used by energy companies to pay for the critical infrastructure that powers our homes.
Standing charges mean you can pay hundreds of pounds a year before you’ve even used any gas or electricity. They also vary depending on where you live in the country.
Ofgem recently asked for the public's views on whether it should introduce new rules on standing charges.
If enacted, reforms could mean energy suppliers have to make a dual pricing offer – both with and without standing charges – to give customers greater choice.
The tariff without a standing charge would have a higher price for each unit of energy. Both tariffs would fall under the existing price cap system.
The plans have been criticised by some charities and energy groups for their complexity. They argue that standing charges won’t become more affordable, as they will just be shifted to another part of the energy bill.
A consultation on these changes by Ofgem concluded in March 2025.
Will energy prices fall?
At the moment, forecasters are divided over whether they anticipate energy bills to fall or not in the last quarter of the year.
As previously mentioned, Cornwall Insight, who are well-renowned for their predictions, said on 1 July they expect prices to fall by around 1% when the new price cap is introduced.
However, more recent estimates seem to suggest that energy bills will see a modest rise in time for Autumn with the new price cap. EDF expects, with low certainty, that average bills will rise to £1,740 per year, while British Gas think they’ll rise to £1,760, also with low certainty.
As the energy market is very exposed to external economic shocks, it is very difficult to accurately predict where prices will go, especially so far off the date of a price cap announcement.
We go into more detail over whether gas and electricity bills will fall in a separate article.
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