The charts that matter: gold back on the rise as the dollar continues to slide
Gold has recovered much of this year’s losses, while the US dollar continues to weaken. Here’s what happened this week in the charts that matter most to the global economy.
Welcome back.
This week, we’re looking at renewable energy. It’s all the rage – and that, perhaps, is the problem. It might be the future of power generation, but right now, it’s getting expensive to invest in, says John. Nevertheless, “cleantech” is not something that’s going away. And whatever type of green energy prevails, it’s going to be built on metal – lots of metal, with lithium and copper chief among them. And that bodes well for Latin America. James McKeigue looks at how you can buy in.
This week’s podcast sees Merryn joined by Simon French of Panmure Gordon. He’s got a bit of a contrarian take on inflation. As you may be aware, we’re pretty much of the view that we’re likely to be seeing some sustained inflation coming our way. Simon, however, thinks it will just be a short-term phenomenon as we recover from lockdowns. He tells Merryn why – listen to the podcast here.
This week’s “Too Embarrassed To Ask” looks at “gearing” – also known as leverage. It’s another of those complicated-sounding terms which describes a very simple concept – and one that is very important in investing. Find out more here.
Here are the links for this week’s editions of Money Morning and other web stories you may have missed.
- Monday Money Morning: Bitcoin’s crash wasn’t about Elon or China – it was about inflation
- Web article: How rising Covid cases in Asia spell higher inflation in the US
- Tuesday Money Morning: Why we’ll all be better off when the commodities curse is dispelled
- Merryn’s blog: Why an ageing population is not necessarily the disaster many people think it is
- Web article: Elon Musk brings some joy to bitcoin hodlers, but will it last?
- Wednesday Money Morning: Bitcoin is in a bear market. So what should hodlers do now?
- Web article: Is Marks & Spencer finally starting to turn around?
- Thursday Money Morning: Central banks are starting to raise rates – what does that mean for your money?
- Friday Money Morning: Big oil is under pressure to cut production – what does that mean for investors?
Now for the charts of the week.
The charts that matter
Gold kept on climbing. It’s still a long way off its peak, but it’s pretty much back where it started the year.
(Gold: three months)
The US dollar index (DXY – a measure of the strength of the dollar against a basket of the currencies of its major trading partners) just keeps on falling.
(DXY: three months)
While the Chinese yuan (or renminbi) is getting stronger (when the red line is rising, the dollar is strengthening while the yuan is weakening).
(Chinese yuan to the US dollar: since 25 Jun 2019)
The yield on the ten-year US government bond is treading water.
(Ten-year US Treasury yield: three months)
The yield on the Japanese ten-year bond seems to be drifting down after looking like it might perk up last week.
(Ten-year Japanese government bond yield: three months)
And the yield on the ten-year German Bund, dropped suddenly, after a couple of months of solid rises.
(Ten-year Bund yield: three months)
Copper paused for breath, but it’s still in demand.
(Copper: nine months)
The closely-related Aussie dollar continued its volatile sideways drift.
(Aussie dollar vs US dollar exchange rate: three months)
And bitcoin failed to immediately bounce back from its huge selloff the previous week. It stabilised a little, but where it goes next is anyone’s guess, says Dominic.
(Bitcoin: three months)
US weekly initial jobless claims continued to fall, down 38,000 to 406,000, compared to 444,000 last week. The four-week moving average fell to 458,750, down 46,000 from 504,750 the week before.
(US initial jobless claims, four-week moving average: since Jan 2020)
The oil price recovered from its previous week’s drop.
(Brent crude oil: three months)
Amazon is trading sideways.
(Amazon: three months)
And Tesla made something of a recovery.
(Tesla: three months)
Have a great weekend.
Ben