Get set for the next euro crisis

Italy is almost certainly heading for its fourth recession since the global financial crisis. 

Italy suspended mortgage payments for households and small firms as the country entered a coronavirus lockdown this week. Meanwhile, on Monday the spread between Italian and German ten-year debt (the gap between the yields on each) went above 2% for the first time since mid-2019.

That suggests that the current sovereign bond rally is not completely indiscriminate, with investors reassessing the risks of lending to Europe’s second most-indebted nation. The Italian economy now looks set to contract sharply in the first and second quarter.

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Markets editor

Alex is an investment writer who has been contributing to MoneyWeek since 2015. He has been the magazine’s markets editor since 2019. 

Alex has a passion for demystifying the often arcane world of finance for a general readership. While financial media tends to focus compulsively on the latest trend, the best opportunities can lie forgotten elsewhere. 

He is especially interested in European equities – where his fluent French helps him to cover the continent’s largest bourse – and emerging markets, where his experience living in Beijing, and conversational Chinese, prove useful. 

Hailing from Leeds, he studied Philosophy, Politics and Economics at the University of Oxford. He also holds a Master of Public Health from the University of Manchester.