Currencies

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Currencies

Currency Corner: hard times are coming for emerging-market currencies

You know trouble is brewing for emerging-market currencies when everybody starts running for the US dollar, says Dominic Frisby.
16 Aug 2019
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Currencies

Trade conflict risks igniting currency war

China’s currency fell to an 11-year low against the US dollar, prompting US authorities to brand the country a currency manipulator.
16 Aug 2019
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Economy

How negative interest rates could spell the death of cash

In the topsy turvy world of negative interest rates, the pound in your pocket undergoes a bizarre change. John Stepek explains what that means for inv…
12 Aug 2019
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Economy

The charts that matter: it’s all gone a bit pear-shaped

With the currency wars escalating, John Stepek looks at how the week's events have shaped the charts that matter the most to the global economy.
10 Aug 2019
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Currencies

Currency Corner: a frustrating lesson in trend-following from the US dollar

The point of a trading system is that it forces you to ignore your hunches, says Dominic Frisby. And sometimes, that can be a frustrating experience.
9 Aug 2019
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Currencies

The currency war gets serious

This week, the Chinese yuan (or renminbi) weakened to the point where one US dollar could buy more than seven yuan. That’s the weakest level in a deca…
8 Aug 2019
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Economy

China fires a warning shot as the trade war escalates

China’s currency, the yuan, has weakened significantly against the dollar. That suggests the trade war will only get worse, says John Stepek. Here’s w…
6 Aug 2019
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Stock markets

The return of the trade war sparks panic in markets

Donald Trump’s latest skirmish in his trade war with China has sent stockmarkets tumbling. John Stepek looks at how China could respond, and what it m…
5 Aug 2019
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Currencies

Currency corner: what’s really behind the slide in the pound

The prolonged Brexit limbo is pounding sterling. But the slide began well before the EU referendum. Dominic Frisby explains what’s behind the pound’s …
2 Aug 2019
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Economy

Sterling weakness and a lack of faith in the Bank of England

Since Boris Johnson became prime minister and promised to leave the EU, deal or no deal, the pound has fallen around 3% against the US dollar. But ste…
1 Aug 2019
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Currencies

Currency Corner: what does Boris Johnson mean for sterling?

Boris Johnson is in at No 10 and he's made himself feel at home with a round of sackings. Dominic Frisby looks at how the currency markets have reacte…
26 Jul 2019
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Currencies

Chart of the week: sterling’s sea of troubles

Sterling slipped to a two-year low against the greenback this week, and remains around 12% below its pre-referendum level.
22 Jul 2019
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Economy

Currency Corner: what’s next for the euro?

Despite having only existed for 20 years, the euro is the world's second-most traded currency and the second-largest reserve currency. Dominic Frisby …
19 Jul 2019
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Economy

Trump wants a weaker US dollar – so what can he do about it?

Donald Trump is a big fan of a weaker currency for America. John Stepek explains why, how he could target the US dollar, and what that would mean for …
19 Jul 2019
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Economy

The charts that matter: the Fed gives the market the green light

This week, the Federal Reserve reassured investors that an interest rate cut is coming. John Stepek looks at how that has affected the charts that mat…
13 Jul 2019
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Currencies

Currency Corner: what will it take for sterling to turn around?

Sterling has had a woeful couple of years. But it's not going anywhere until Brexit is resolved one way or another, says Dominic Frisby.
12 Jul 2019
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Economy

The charts that matter: a quandary for the Fed

The yield curve is putting pressure on the Federal reserve to cut interest rates. But the economic data doesn't support that. John Stepek looks at wha…
6 Jul 2019
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Currencies

Currency Corner: the Australian dollar’s dreadful decade

The Australian dollar has been falling in value since 2011. It's fared even worse than the pound. Dominic Frisby looks at the reasons for its decline.
5 Jul 2019
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Economy

Get ready for epic levels of monetary debasement

With central bankers turning ultra-dovish, it looks like the currency wars are back on the agenda. John Stepek explains why, and what it means for you…
4 Jul 2019
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Currencies

Bitcoin is back in a bear market – but don’t sell now

After its recent spectacular rise, bitcoin suffered a whopping great selloff that, technically, put it back in a bear market. But that doesn’t mean yo…
3 Jul 2019
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Economy

Forget the trade truce – here’s what really matters for markets now

Markets rallied after Donald Trump and Xi Jinping patched up their differences at the G20 summit. But trade talks are just a sideshow. What really mat…
1 Jul 2019
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Economy

The charts that matter: the bond bubble keeps getting bigger

Markets are still absorbing the impact of the Federal Reserve’s shift closer to cutting rates that we saw last week. John Stepek looks at what's happe…
29 Jun 2019
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Currencies

Currency Corner: it’s time to sell the US dollar - here’s why

Dominic Frisby's trend-following system is telling him that the US dollar, in the medium-term at least, is a sell. Here's why.
28 Jun 2019
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Currencies

Why “America First” is bad news for the US dollar

Since WW2, the US has been the world's dominant political and military force. That's now changing – and it means a weaker US dollar. John Stepek looks…
27 Jun 2019
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Currencies

Libra, Facebook’s faux cryptocurrency, could really take off

Libra, the proposed new cryptocurrency from Facebook, could be huge, says Merryn Somerset Webb. Not because it is a cryptocurrency. But because it isn…
24 Jun 2019
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Economy

The charts that matter: the great central bank-sponsored rally

With the US central bank now on board with the idea of cutting interest rates, John Stpeek looks at what this means for the charts that matter most to…
22 Jun 2019
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Currencies

Currency Corner: is the pound brewing up a multi-year bull market?

The pound has been stuck in a range against the euro while we’ve endured seemingly endless political chaos. There’s still a way to go yet. But when we…
21 Jun 2019
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Currencies

With its Libra cryptocurrency, Facebook wants to disrupt money

Economist Friedrich Hayek argued that corporations should compete with governments to issue currencies. Facebook's Libra is the start.
21 Jun 2019
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Economy

Investors beware: politicians are now in charge, not central banks

The US Federal Reserve has done what the market wanted for now. But investors should watch out, says John Stepek – President Donald Trump is turning u…
20 Jun 2019
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Currencies

Facebook’s Libra is not really a cryptocurrency – but it could still be world-changing

Facebook could be on to a winner with Libra, its new cryptocurrency, says Dominic Frisby. Here, he explains why.
19 Jun 2019
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Economy

The charts that matter: the US dollar continues lower

As markets continue to believe that a cut in US interest rates is just a matter of time, the US dollar continued its fall this week. John Stepek looks…
15 Jun 2019
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Currencies

Currency Corner: what does Boris Johnson’s pending victory mean for the pound?

Boris Johnson looks almost certain to be our next prime minister. Dominic Frisby looks at what that might mean for the pound.
14 Jun 2019
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Economy

The yuan: a new front in the trade war?

China’s currency, the yuan (also known as the renminbi), has slumped to a new low for 201 as Trump’s tariffs put a strain on the country’s manufacturi…
14 Jun 2019
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Economy

Good news for markets – the US employment data was terrible

US stocks rallied at the end of last week. And that was mostly down to one thing: disappointing employment data. John Stepek explains why the markets …
10 Jun 2019
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Currencies

Currency Corner: the outlook for the Japanese yen

The Japanese yen – the third-most traded currency in the world, after the US dollar and the euro – has been flat for some time now. Dominic Frisby loo…
7 Jun 2019
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Currencies

Currency Corner: what’s next for the Canadian dollar?

The Canadian dollar – or loonie – is a “commodity” currency. At the peak of the commodities supercycle it was king. But it's been sliding for years. D…
31 May 2019
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Currencies

The pound’s wild week

The pound hit four-month lows against the dollar last week amid another bout of political turbulence at Westminster.
30 May 2019
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Economy

What will it take for us to value real stuff again?

The intangible economy has ballooned in recent decades and today it looks all but unassailable. Dominic Frisby looks at what could bring it back down …
29 May 2019
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Economy

The charts that matter: markets start to worry

With bond yields sliding this week as investors started to fret about global trade, John Stepek looks at the effect on the charts that matter most to …
25 May 2019
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Economy

Currency Corner: why we all need to keep a close eye on King Dollar

Dominic Frisby looks at the price of the most important currency in the world – the US dollar – and where it’s likely to be by the time Donald Trump’s…
24 May 2019
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Currencies

Don’t worry about China selling US bonds – worry about this instead

As a tactic in its current trade war with the US, China dumping US bonds is often presented as its trump card. But it has another, more dangerous opti…
23 May 2019
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Currencies

Currency Corner: This cycle suggests that the next big move for sterling is up

Dominic Frisby explains why this uncannily reliable eight-year cycle in the pound means he's bullish about sterling.
17 May 2019
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Currencies

The bitcoin rollercoaster has started up again – hang on tight!

Sentiment on bitcoin has made an about turn and the cryptocurrency is back on the rise. Dominic Frisby explains why, and whether it's time to buy bitc…
15 May 2019
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Economy

The charts that matter: the trade war roars back with a vengeance

John Stepek looks at what the renewed threat of a US/China trade war means for the charts that matter most to the global economy.
11 May 2019
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Currencies

Currency Corner: what’s next for the pound sterling?

Currencies crave stability. But there's precious little of that around right now, says Dominic Frisby. So what hope is there for the pound?
10 May 2019
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Economy

The trouble with Scotland's plan to launch its own currency

A Scottish currency makes sense for the nationalists dreaming of independence. But will it work, asks Matthew Lynn.
5 May 2019
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Sponsored

Beware: the trade war between China and the US could just be the beginning

SPONSORED CONTENT - China and the US appear to be making progress in their trade war. But investors shouldn't get too relaxed about prospects for glob…
5 May 2019
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Economy

The charts that matter: the US economy shows no sign of wilting

The US economy looks in better shape than many thought this time last month.John Stepek looks at how it's affecting the charts that matter most to the…
4 May 2019
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