Tesco’s shabby accounts scandal

Shares in Tesco hit new lows after the supermarket launched an investigation into its dubious accounting.

Tesco issued its third profit warning in a month this week. And this one was a real shocker. Britain's biggest retailer revealed that it had overstated its estimated first-half profits by almost 25% £250m, and that it was asking accounting group Deloitte to investigate.

The shares plunged by 12% in a day to an 11-year low. Four senior managers have been suspended, including the head of the UK business, where the accounting hole appeared. Dave Lewis, the new chief executive, has just started his tenure at the supermarket. A former Tesco grandee described the affair as "mind-boggling".

What the commentators said

It didn't help that Tesco "retreated into the worst kind of corporate gobbledygook" to explain why it had overstated profits so massively, said The Independent. In plain English, Tesco was counting money it hadn't yet earned, while delaying the reporting of costs already incurred.

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"It is the sort of shabby accounting scandal more commonly found in the lower reaches of the Alternative Investment Market" than at one of Britain's "bluest of blue chips".

Yet, Tesco investors "can't say they weren't warned", said Alistair Osborne in The Times. Last year, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Mike Dennis issued two reports asking how a company with rising costs and falling sales could maintain a 5.2% UK profit margin.

It's worrying that "this came to light so late", said Lex in the Financial Times. The final first-half numbers are due soon. Last week "the finance department should have been fine-tuning", not finding big holes.

The managerial rot goes deeper, said Luke Johnson in the FT. Among the ten main board members, not one, including Lewis, has executive experience as a retailer, or practical experience of shopkeeping. "Very experienced, well-networked retail veterans might well have noticed something was amiss a little earlier."

Let's hope, said Alex Brummer in the Daily Mail, that the investigation won't uncover errors going back years. Corporate history suggests we can't be too confident.

As things stand, concluded Lex, it's hard to have much faith in past profits, or, for that matter, future margins and profitability. "The whole structure looks like it is subsiding."

Andrew Van Sickle

Andrew is the editor of MoneyWeek magazine. He grew up in Vienna and studied at the University of St Andrews, where he gained a first-class MA in geography & international relations.

After graduating he began to contribute to the foreign page of The Week and soon afterwards joined MoneyWeek at its inception in October 2000. He helped Merryn Somerset Webb establish it as Britain’s best-selling financial magazine, contributing to every section of the publication and specialising in macroeconomics and stockmarkets, before going part-time.

His freelance projects have included a 2009 relaunch of The Pharma Letter, where he covered corporate news and political developments in the German pharmaceuticals market for two years, and a multiyear stint as deputy editor of the Barclays account at Redwood, a marketing agency.

Andrew has been editing MoneyWeek since 2018, and continues to specialise in investment and news in German-speaking countries owing to his fluent command of the language.