Good news for Edinburgh home owners: the gravy train is coming to town
Whether Scotland votes for independence or not, the size of the political establishment and its entourage is set to grow enormously. That can only be good for the Scottish capital’s housing market, says Merryn Somerset Webb.
It is festival time in Edinburgh. This means that you are pretty much obliged to either see a show or be in a show every day for a month. Mostly I choose the seeing option, but on Saturday, I allowed myself to be persuaded to go on Mrs Moneypenny's panel show.
You never know what kind of direction Mrs M is going to go in with this kind of thing, so my fellow guests and I braced ourselves for the worst when the questions started. The good news was that it was mostly pretty gentle (except for when she made us help audience members make bird feeders out of cotton wool and plastic bottles). However, she did rather go for me on the matter of property.
I am, she noted, a well-known property bear. So why have I bought a house in Edinburgh? Regular readers will know the real reason for this - we wanted somewhere nice to live for the very long term and Edinburgh's rental stock wasn't doing it for us. But as I was answering Heather on this, and we were also talking about the possibility of Scottish independence, it occurred to me that buying in Edinburgh might not have been as bad a financial move as I once thought. Why? It's all about government.
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
There was an article in the FT yesterday about Washington. They come for the politics, said the headline. But, "they stay for the money". Half of former senators stay on in Washington as lobbyists once they leave office. The same goes for House members, while most "young congressional staffers see profitable futures at lobbying firms after a few years on government salaries". There is, you see, a "dazzling amount of money to be made in the neighbourhood of politics".
Scotland has already taken on new tax raising powers and everyone knows that whether Scottish voters take Alex Salmond's word that independence will be just fabulous or not (all polls currently suggest not), more power is likely to be transferred. And with that power will come more government employees, more politicians, more lobbyists masquerading as thinktanks, more obvious lobbyists and every other kind of political groupie you can think of. They'll all be near a new and dazzling amount of money, and they'll all need somewhere to live.
That should be nice for Edinburgh home owners it won't actually make us any richer (taxes will have to go up to pay for the dazzling pile for starters), but it might make us feel a bit richer. These days when I find myself worrying about the future, I just re-read this article that is all about how "a surge of federal contractors and a rising tide of government spending" has pushed house prices in Washington DC to new highs.
Sign up to Money Morning
Our team, led by award winning editors, is dedicated to delivering you the top news, analysis, and guides to help you manage your money, grow your investments and build wealth.
Merryn Somerset Webb started her career in Tokyo at public broadcaster NHK before becoming a Japanese equity broker at what was then Warburgs. She went on to work at SBC and UBS without moving from her desk in Kamiyacho (it was the age of mergers).
After five years in Japan she returned to work in the UK at Paribas. This soon became BNP Paribas. Again, no desk move was required. On leaving the City, Merryn helped The Week magazine with its City pages before becoming the launch editor of MoneyWeek in 2000 and taking on columns first in the Sunday Times and then in 2009 in the Financial Times
Twenty years on, MoneyWeek is the best-selling financial magazine in the UK. Merryn was its Editor in Chief until 2022. She is now a senior columnist at Bloomberg and host of the Merryn Talks Money podcast - but still writes for Moneyweek monthly.
Merryn is also is a non executive director of two investment trusts – BlackRock Throgmorton, and the Murray Income Investment Trust.
-
Four AI ETFs to buy
Is now a good time to buy AI ETFs? We examine four AI ETFs that investors might want to add to their portfolio
By Dan McEvoy Published
-
Chase boosts easy-access interest rate - savers could earn 4.75%
Chase is offering a boosted interest rate which is fixed for six months, on top of the standard variable rate
By Jessica Sheldon Published
-
House prices to crash? Your house may still be making you money, but not for much longer
Opinion If you’re relying on your property to fund your pension, you may have to think again. But, says Merryn Somerset Webb, if house prices start to fall there may be a silver lining.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
Prepare your portfolio for recession
Opinion A recession is looking increasingly likely. Add in a bear market and soaring inflation, and things are going to get very complicated for investors, says Merryn Somerset Webb.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
Investing for income? Here are six investment trusts to buy now
Opinion For many savers and investors, income is getting hard to find. But it's not impossible to find, says Merryn Somerset Webb. Here, she picks six investment trusts that are currently yielding more than 4%.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
Stories are great – but investors should stick to reality
Opinion Everybody loves a story – and investors are no exception. But it’s easy to get carried away, says Merryn Somerset Webb, and forget the underlying truth of the market.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
Everything is collapsing at once – here’s what to do about it
Opinion Equity and bond markets are crashing, while inflation destroys the value of cash. Merryn Somerset Webb looks at where investors can turn to protect their wealth.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
Value is starting to emerge in the markets
Opinion If you are looking for long-term value in the markets, some is beginning to emerge, says Merryn Somerset Webb. Indeed, you may soon be able to buy traditionally expensive growth stocks on the cheap, too.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
ESG investing could end up being a classic mistake
Opinion ESG investing has been embraced with enormous speed and zeal. But think long and hard before buying in, says Merryn Somerset Webb.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
UK house prices will fall – but not for a few years
Opinion UK house prices look out of reach for many. But the truth is that British property is surprisingly affordable, says Merryn Somerset Webb. Prices will fall at some point – but not yet.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published