Get the latest financial news, insights and expert analysis from our award-winning MoneyWeek team, to help you understand what really matters when it comes to your finances.
You are now subscribed
Your newsletter sign-up was successful
Want to add more newsletters?
Twice daily
MoneyWeek
Get the latest financial news, insights and expert analysis from our award-winning MoneyWeek team, to help you understand what really matters when it comes to your finances.
Four times a week
Look After My Bills
Sign up to our free money-saving newsletter, filled with the latest news and expert advice to help you find the best tips and deals for managing your bills. Start saving today!
America is at risk of turning Japanese, says hedge-fund manager Kyle Bass. The US central bank, the Federal Reserve, is expected to cut interest rates later this month, in hope of boosting inflation. Markets already expect a significant reduction in rates over the longer term, but Bass tells the Financial Times that he thinks even the gloomiest projections are wrong.
This is based on his view that, despite relatively solid recent economic data, the US will be heading for recession by the middle of next year. As a result, he expects Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell (pictured) to slash rates to close to zero once again. And "as we have all learned, once an economy falls into the tractor beam of zero rates, it's almost impossible to escape them". That could see the Fed taking ever-more extreme measures to bail out markets printing more money (in the form of quantitative easing) and perhaps even using it to buy stocks, as the Bank of Japan already does.
Bass has a record of being bearish he spent many years warning that Japan's vast public debt would cause a collapse in the value of the Japanese yen. More recently, he gave up betting on a big drop in the Chinese yuan, having entered a short position in mid-2015 in the belief that the Chinese government would burn through its foreign-currency reserves and fail in its efforts to prop the yuan up. As Bloomberg notes, the yuan fell by about 10% over that time, but Bass had been calling for a drop of closer to 30%.
MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Get the latest financial news, insights and expert analysis from our award-winning MoneyWeek team, to help you understand what really matters when it comes to your finances.
MoneyWeek is written by a team of experienced and award-winning journalists, plus expert columnists. As well as daily digital news and features, MoneyWeek also publishes a weekly magazine, covering investing and personal finance. From share tips, pensions, gold to practical investment tips - we provide a round-up to help you make money and keep it.
-
Average UK house price reaches £300,000 for first time, Halifax saysWhile the average house price has topped £300k, regional disparities still remain, Halifax finds.
-
Barings Emerging Europe trust bounces back from Russia woesBarings Emerging Europe trust has added the Middle East and Africa to its mandate, delivering a strong recovery, says Max King
-
How a dovish Federal Reserve could affect youTrump’s pick for the US Federal Reserve is not so much of a yes-man as his rival, but interest rates will still come down quickly, says Cris Sholto Heaton
-
New Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh has his work cut outOpinion Kevin Warsh must make it clear that he, not Trump, is in charge at the Fed. If he doesn't, the US dollar and Treasury bills sell-off will start all over again
-
'Investors should brace for Trump’s great inflation'Opinion Donald Trump's actions against Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell will likely stoke rising prices. Investors should prepare for the worst, says Matthew Lynn
-
'Governments are launching an assault on the independence of central banks'Opinion Say goodbye to the era of central bank orthodoxy and hello to the new era of central bank dependency, says Jeremy McKeown
-
Do we need central banks, or is it time to privatise money?Analysis Free banking is one alternative to central banks, but would switching to a radical new system be worth the risk?
-
Will turmoil in the Middle East trigger inflation?The risk of an escalating Middle East crisis continues to rise. Markets appear to be dismissing the prospect. Here's how investors can protect themselves.
-
Federal Reserve cuts US interest rates for the first time in more than four yearsPolicymakers at the US central bank also suggested rates would be cut further before the year is out
-
The Bank of England can’t afford to hike interest rates againWith inflation falling, the cost of borrowing rising and the economy heading into an election year, the Bank of England can’t afford to increase interest rates again.
