The follow-up to my euro trade
John C Burford ups his protective stop to break-even as Friday's rise in the euro yields fantastic returns. But with a rally in the market off Monday's low, how will he make his next move?
On Thursday May 19, I covereda possible long euro trade where I went long EUR/USD on a tramline break-out (or on the subsequent pull-back).
That trade was taken in the $1.4210 area. My protective stop was moved up to break-even yesterday, following the successful re-test of the break-out tramline.
Again, here is the chart showing the tramline break-out:
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
(Click on the chart for a larger version)
Now on Friday May 20, as I write, the euro has made it to my upper tramline:
(Click on the chart for a larger version)
That's where I took profits of over 100 pips. That is a profit of £100 per £1 spread bet.
Remember, this long trade was taken against the backdrop of a huge move down from the May 2 high.
Note that the rally off Monday's low is a tepid affair (compare the choppy rally with the strong impulsivelooking retreat off the high).
That brings up the question: shall I go short here as it has made the upper tramline? I'll discuss the answer to that in the next blog.
NB: Don't miss my next trading insight. To receive all my spread betting blog posts by email, as soon as I've written them, just sign up here .
Sign up to Money Morning
Our team, led by award winning editors, is dedicated to delivering you the top news, analysis, and guides to help you manage your money, grow your investments and build wealth.
John is is a British-born lapsed PhD physicist, who previously worked for Nasa on the Mars exploration team. He is a former commodity trading advisor with the US Commodities Futures Trading Commission, and worked in a boutique futures house in California in the 1980s.
He was a partner in one of the first futures newsletter advisory services, based in Washington DC, specialising in pork bellies and currencies. John is primarily a chart-reading trader, having cut his trading teeth in the days before PCs.
As well as his work in the financial world, he has launched, run and sold several 'real' businesses producing 'real' products.
-
House prices rise 2.9% – will the recovery continue?
House prices grew by 2.9% on an annual basis in September. Will Budget policies and ‘higher-for-longer’ rates dent the recovery?
By Katie Williams Published
-
Nvidia earnings: what to expect
Nvidia announces earnings after market close on 20 November. What should investors expect from the semiconductor giant?
By Dan McEvoy Published