How did past Middle East crises affect the price of gold?

What is likely to happen to the price of gold if the unrest in the Middle East leads to a full-blown oil crisis? Just look at what happened in past Middle Eastern crises.

What happens to gold in an oil crisis? It goes up. A lot. When the first crisis hit back in 1973 in the wake of the Arab-Israeli war, nothing happened immediately. But then as the impact of the embargo began to be felt in the US and in particular as oil began to be rationed that changed.

The price of gold doubled in less than four months from $85 an ounce to $180, with the peak coming just as the embargo ended. The price then eased slightly. But as GMP Securities point out, the end result was that it stabilised in a much higher range $130-$150 than it had previously held.

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Merryn Somerset Webb

Merryn Somerset Webb started her career in Tokyo at public broadcaster NHK before becoming a Japanese equity broker at what was then Warburgs. She went on to work at SBC and UBS without moving from her desk in Kamiyacho (it was the age of mergers).

After five years in Japan she returned to work in the UK at Paribas. This soon became BNP Paribas. Again, no desk move was required. On leaving the City, Merryn helped The Week magazine with its City pages before becoming the launch editor of MoneyWeek in 2000 and taking on columns first in the Sunday Times and then in 2009 in the Financial Times

Twenty years on, MoneyWeek is the best-selling financial magazine in the UK. Merryn was its Editor in Chief until 2022. She is now a senior columnist at Bloomberg and host of the Merryn Talks Money podcast -  but still writes for Moneyweek monthly. 

Merryn is also is a non executive director of two investment trusts – BlackRock Throgmorton, and the Murray Income Investment Trust.