Europe is finally looking cheap
The idea that high quality European stocks are good value is finally gaining ground.
We started telling you to buy European stocks here a few weeks ago. We've had a cover story on why one should start buying into Italyand last week's cover delved into particularly good value stocks in Europe.
But the idea that Europe is finally, finally looking cheap is beginning to gain ground. An email comes from Charlie Morris of the HSBC Wealth Opportunities Fund. He reckons that high quality European stocks now sit alongside those in Japan as compelling "value opportunities." They are also both, he thinks, a better bet than US equities, which have "run ahead of the rest due to their safe haven status."
How's he buying? Via the EuroStoxx 50 Index on the basis that not only is it generally "dominated by global titans" but the fact that the euro crisis has now been with us for so long means that distressed stocks already have low weightings.
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
We've suggested various other funds as well, but one that has not been much mentioned is Alex Darwell's Jupiter European Opportunities Fund. Given that is it is the best performing of the European investment trusts over the last one, three and five years, that's an omission. So should you look at it? Maybe.
A note from Oriel on the fund last week tells the story of Darwell being told by a potential investor that he would not invest in the fund until "the euro crisis is resolved". We reckon he'll be waiting a long, long time to invest. So does Darwell, who notes that "the deleveraging process in Europe will take a generation at least to complete".
However, Darwell claims to be not much bothered by this. His portfolio is made up of 38 companies (picked from a universe of 4,000), weighted away from financials and real estate and towards technology, healthcare and media, all of which he has, says Oriel, "a pretty thorough understanding of." As he should, given that he has known the management teams of some of them for 20 years, and that around half of the companies in his portfolio have been there for over six years.
He is basically a good stock picker focused on quality value. That's a strategy that generally works over the long term and that has also been working very well in the recent short term. Finally, it is worth noting that Darwell has significant skin in the game: he owns 5% of the £200m trust himself.
The problems? First, the fund is allowed to invest in the UK as well as in Europe, so it isn't offering pure exposure to the eurozone.
Second, it has had a good run - it has been heavily invested in the defensive names that have outperformed over the last few years. There is no guarantee that this new 'nifty fifty' trend will continue, and Darwell has little exposure to the really cheap bits of the market (the south in particular).
And finally, the trust has a performance fee. The management fee comes in at 0.75% but there's a performance fee equal to 15% of the amount by which the NAV exceeds the index with no mention that I can see of a high water mark of any kind. Indeed, the only limit on it is one that doesn't seem much of a limit - that it can come to no more than 7.5%. In 2011 the trust paid a performance fee of over £4m. That seems excessive. See here for what might make a performance fee acceptable.
Sign up to Money Morning
Our team, led by award winning editors, is dedicated to delivering you the top news, analysis, and guides to help you manage your money, grow your investments and build wealth.
Merryn Somerset Webb started her career in Tokyo at public broadcaster NHK before becoming a Japanese equity broker at what was then Warburgs. She went on to work at SBC and UBS without moving from her desk in Kamiyacho (it was the age of mergers).
After five years in Japan she returned to work in the UK at Paribas. This soon became BNP Paribas. Again, no desk move was required. On leaving the City, Merryn helped The Week magazine with its City pages before becoming the launch editor of MoneyWeek in 2000 and taking on columns first in the Sunday Times and then in 2009 in the Financial Times
Twenty years on, MoneyWeek is the best-selling financial magazine in the UK. Merryn was its Editor in Chief until 2022. She is now a senior columnist at Bloomberg and host of the Merryn Talks Money podcast - but still writes for Moneyweek monthly.
Merryn is also is a non executive director of two investment trusts – BlackRock Throgmorton, and the Murray Income Investment Trust.
-
Energy bills to rise by 1.2% in January 2025
Energy bills are set to rise 1.2% in the New Year when the latest energy price cap comes into play, Ofgem has confirmed
By Dan McEvoy Published
-
Should you invest in Trainline?
Ticket seller Trainline offers a useful service – and good prospects for investors
By Dr Matthew Partridge Published
-
House prices to crash? Your house may still be making you money, but not for much longer
Opinion If you’re relying on your property to fund your pension, you may have to think again. But, says Merryn Somerset Webb, if house prices start to fall there may be a silver lining.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
Prepare your portfolio for recession
Opinion A recession is looking increasingly likely. Add in a bear market and soaring inflation, and things are going to get very complicated for investors, says Merryn Somerset Webb.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
Investing for income? Here are six investment trusts to buy now
Opinion For many savers and investors, income is getting hard to find. But it's not impossible to find, says Merryn Somerset Webb. Here, she picks six investment trusts that are currently yielding more than 4%.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
Stories are great – but investors should stick to reality
Opinion Everybody loves a story – and investors are no exception. But it’s easy to get carried away, says Merryn Somerset Webb, and forget the underlying truth of the market.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
Everything is collapsing at once – here’s what to do about it
Opinion Equity and bond markets are crashing, while inflation destroys the value of cash. Merryn Somerset Webb looks at where investors can turn to protect their wealth.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
Value is starting to emerge in the markets
Opinion If you are looking for long-term value in the markets, some is beginning to emerge, says Merryn Somerset Webb. Indeed, you may soon be able to buy traditionally expensive growth stocks on the cheap, too.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
ESG investing could end up being a classic mistake
Opinion ESG investing has been embraced with enormous speed and zeal. But think long and hard before buying in, says Merryn Somerset Webb.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published
-
UK house prices will fall – but not for a few years
Opinion UK house prices look out of reach for many. But the truth is that British property is surprisingly affordable, says Merryn Somerset Webb. Prices will fall at some point – but not yet.
By Merryn Somerset Webb Published