Don’t worry too much about interest rates – for now
If you are worried about the effect that rising interest rates might have on your UK equity portfolio, you can relax – for now at least, says Merryn Somerset Webb.
The recent good economic news pouring out of the UK (see this week's magazine for more on this) should be focusing everyone's minds on interest rates.
Is it really possible for us to have economic growth of 3.5% (as the OECD thinks is possible) but to also have the Bank of England base rate at its lowest since the 1690s? We rather doubt it.
However, if you are worried about the effect that rising interest rates might have on your UK equity portfolio, you can relax for now, at least.
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Below is a chart from JP Morgan showing that bad stuff doesn't usually happen in equity markets until rates go over the very long term norm of 5%.
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Merryn Somerset Webb started her career in Tokyo at public broadcaster NHK before becoming a Japanese equity broker at what was then Warburgs. She went on to work at SBC and UBS without moving from her desk in Kamiyacho (it was the age of mergers).
After five years in Japan she returned to work in the UK at Paribas. This soon became BNP Paribas. Again, no desk move was required. On leaving the City, Merryn helped The Week magazine with its City pages before becoming the launch editor of MoneyWeek in 2000 and taking on columns first in the Sunday Times and then in 2009 in the Financial Times
Twenty years on, MoneyWeek is the best-selling financial magazine in the UK. Merryn was its Editor in Chief until 2022. She is now a senior columnist at Bloomberg and host of the Merryn Talks Money podcast - but still writes for Moneyweek monthly.
Merryn is also is a non executive director of two investment trusts – BlackRock Throgmorton, and the Murray Income Investment Trust.
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