It was not the kind of warning you see very often in company statements. In its annual report filed with regulators in New York earlier this month, Meta, which owns Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp, stated bluntly that it may be forced to pull its operations from the EU. The reason? That planned rules for transferring data between America and the EU were so onerous it would be impossible for the company to operate anymore. Leaving would be the only responsible option.
You might think that would be of concern to the EU’s leaders. Meta is, after all, one of the world’s biggest, most innovative, and fastest-growing businesses with a market value of close on $600bn and more than two billion users, and which is investing huge sums in new products. Politicians usually bend over backwards to persuade those kinds of companies to invest more, not less, in their countries. Yet the continent’s power-brokers could hardly be more pleased. “Life would be very good without Facebook,” said French finance minister Bruno le Maire, alongside German counterpart Robert Habeck. Both made it clear that driving Meta out of the continent would be a victory for their policies.
A perverse pride in obstruction
We understand that Meta is not a popular company. It has paid little attention to privacy and aggressively monetised its data. Its ubiquitous apps have sown political division. Even so, it would be quite something if it left the EU completely. Yet that is surely only a matter of time.
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Over the last decade, the EU has engaged in a sustained campaign of harassment against the US tech giants, with ever larger fines and more and more cumbersome rules. In GDPR it created data rules that were so badly designed and difficult to follow, backed up by the threat of huge fines, that they crushed innovation and forced some websites to close. Another huge piece of digital markets legislation is being drafted right now. Vast fines have been levied, such as the €13bn punishment of Apple for basing itself in Ireland, or the $2.8bn Google was charged for allegedly abusing its position in the search market, even though many of them have subsequently been overturned by the European Court as clearly illegal.
The EU’s commissioners pride themselves on punishing the tech companies as if this were a virtue in itself. The data transfer rules are simply the latest in a long series of barriers put in place. At a certain point, it is surely only a rational commercial decision for one or two of the internet giants to decide it is simply not worth the cost of trying to operate a business on the continent. Sure, the EU is a big prize, but in the end it is only 15% of global GDP, and doesn’t grow very fast. It might be better to concentrate on other markets.
Making the EU a museum
European leaders can welcome that if they want to, but they face three big problems. First, you can’t regulate your way to success. The EU believes that if it can drive US companies out then European ones will replace them. But that is not necessarily true. Nothing might replace them, or the firms that do might be far less competitive and innovative. Second, if companies such as Meta are forced to leave, it will isolate Europe from the most dynamic sector of the global economy, leaving it to the Americans and the Chinese. Ideas won’t be incubated and consumers won’t have access to the most advanced technology. Finally, it will almost certainly set a precedent for the other internet giants. If Meta goes it may not be long before Amazon, Apple and Alphabet, the owner of Google, follow.
“Mexit” could then very quickly turn into a wider “Tech-xit”. That would turn the EU into a museum – a nice place to visit, but one cut off from the rest of the world. Growth would dwindle and the world’s fastest-growing industries may decide it is no longer worth bothering with. Maybe then the French and German finance ministers won’t be quite so relaxed about i
-
Shein shifts IPO focus to Hong KongThe development piles fresh pressure on London’s beleaguered stock market, which many had hoped would be boosted by Shein’s IPO
-
Scientists turn lead into gold – could it wreck the yellow metal's price?Medieval alchemists have been vindicated after scientists turned lead into gold, but the results aren’t going to crash the gold price any time soon
-
The next phase of the AI boomThe technology is about to become far more widespread, says Dan McEvoy. Here’s how to profit
-
The strange world of quantum computingIf we can harness the potential of quantum physics, modern computers may come to seem like plodding calculators in comparison with the machines of the future
-
'Technology will determine tomorrow’s top stocks in emerging markets'Opinion John Citron, investment manager of the JPMorgan Emerging Markets Investment Trust, tells us where he’d put his money
-
Should you limit exposure to US tech stocks?An end to the AI boom would shake both US funds and global trackers. Here’s one way to trim exposure to US tech stocks
-
No need to run from the robots: Nobel laureate Daron Acemoglu talks to MoneyWeekInterview Daron Acemoglu, Nobel Prize winner and professor at MIT tells Matthew Partridge why the gains from AI have been overhyped
-
Deepseek's Liang Wenfeng: the maths whizz who shook Big TechFew people had heard of Liang Wenfeng until the launch of his DeepSeek AI chatbot wiped a trillion dollars off US technology stocks. His pivot to AI was of a piece with his past exploits.
-
Four UK data companies to buy nowCompanies that create, harness or turn data into a valuable offering could be sitting on a hugely profitable gold mine. Rupert Hargreaves picks four of the best UK data companies to buy now.
-
China's DeepSeek AI is a 'Sputnik moment' for the USThe US is facing a new “Sputnik moment” with the sudden appearance of China's DeepSeek AI firm wiping $1 trillion off the value of US tech stocks.
