Three stocks to buy now that will come back stronger after Covid-19

Professional investor Ed Wielechowski of Odyssean Capital, chooses three compelling stocks that should thrive in a post-pandemic world.

It is 12 months since equity markets hit their Covid-19 lows. Few at the time would have predicted the scale of the subsequent market rally, or the speed with which the market’s focus has shifted from concern over companies surviving the pandemic to optimism about those positioned to benefit as economies emerge from lockdown.

We believe that this shift in sentiment has led many more cyclical, industrial, and consumer stocks to trade at generous multiples of fully recovered profits as a rebound becomes priced in. However, there remain compelling but less obvious opportunities that should benefit from a “normalisation” post-lockdown. We have been looking for companies where, on top of a near-term recovery, we may see the virus benefit their end markets and where management can improve their businesses. Here are three examples.

The changing healthcare market

Spire Healthcare (LSE: SPI) is a leading private-hospital operator in the UK. Private hospitals have had their capacity reserved during the pandemic, at cost, to support the NHS. Now activities are returning to normal and the healthcare landscape has fundamentally changed. Backlogs of both private and NHS procedures will take years to clear, with private-sector support needed to achieve this. Spire is well placed to benefit. 

The pandemic has also shifted patients’ willingness to engage with healthcare services digitally. Spire rolled out online tools in the crisis to enable digital pre-assessment. Customers enjoy improved convenience while Spire benefits from efficiency gains. We believe further such self-help opportunities exist. Spire shares have had a good run, but continue to trade below a freehold property-backed book value. At around nine times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) they still offer great medium-term value. 

Digitising data services

Wilmington (LSE: WIL) is a provider of data, training, and events to a variety of markets. Despite benefiting from significant recurring revenues, the portion of the business reliant on in-person events and training has inevitably been hit by Covid-19. Wilmington should now see these services bounce back, but more excitingly it has used the pandemic to accelerate its shift to enhanced digital delivery of its services. 

Digitising its content allowed Wilmington to keep offering services to its customers through the pandemic, gaining share from competitors. This digital-ready content can now more easily be packaged into new products, served to new customers and accelerate growth. The shares are still 20% below their pre-pandemic level, despite the firm’s improved prospects. 

A hidden recovery 

Clinigen (LSE: CLIN) provides hard-to-access medicines to healthcare professionals and clinical trials globally. Demand for its services dipped as hospital treatment and clinical trials slowed in lockdown. This demand is set to recover. Clinigen can also benefit from an increased focus on drug distribution as vaccines roll out; new product launches; and cost synergies from recent acquisitions. 

Despite the recovery potential, the shares trade on a forward price/earnings (p/e) ratio of ten. While gearing is high, the company has strong underlying cashflow. As leverage falls the shares are likely to trade nearer the long-term average p/e of 15.

Recommended

The hidden cost of employee share schemes
Investment strategy

The hidden cost of employee share schemes

Paying employees in shares comes at a cost to investors – but it isn’t always easy to see how much, says Stephen Clapham.
26 Sep 2022
Sterling crashes to its lowest since 1985 after mini-Budget
Currencies

Sterling crashes to its lowest since 1985 after mini-Budget

The pound has fallen hard and is heading towards parity with the US dollar. Saloni Sardana explains why, and what it means for the UK, for markets and…
23 Sep 2022
The pick of this year's best-performing investment trusts
Investment trusts

The pick of this year's best-performing investment trusts

Market conditions haven’t been easy, but these investment trusts have delivered strong growth, says David Stevenson.
23 Sep 2022
Earn 3.7% from the best savings accounts
Savings

Earn 3.7% from the best savings accounts

With inflation topping 10%, your savings won't keep pace with the rising cost of living. But you can at least slow the rate at which your money is los…
23 Sep 2022

Most Popular

Could gold be the basis for a new global currency?
Gold

Could gold be the basis for a new global currency?

Gold has always been the most reliable form of money. Now collaboration between China and Russia could lead to a new gold-backed means of exchange – g…
22 Sep 2022
Paypal, bitcoin, and the weaponisation of money
Bitcoin & crypto

Paypal, bitcoin, and the weaponisation of money

Recent events have shown how both business and governments can “weaponise” money and shut down dissent. What to do? Buy bitcoin, says Dominic Frisby.
22 Sep 2022
Why you should short this satellite broadband company
Trading

Why you should short this satellite broadband company

With an ill-considered business plan, satellite broadband company AST SpaceMobile is doomed to failure, says Matthew Partridge. Here's how to short th…
23 Sep 2022