Welcoming “90,000 visitors from all over the world during a pandemic” to a “densely populated city where vaccinations trail Bangladesh… gee, what could go wrong?” asks William Pesek in Nikkei Asia. Japan insists that it can safely hold the Olympic games in July, but opinion polls show that more than 80% of the country’s citizens are opposed. Pressure is growing on the prime minister, Yoshihide Suga, who has backed the games. The head of e-commerce giant Rakuten, Hiroshi Mikitani, has dubbed the Olympics a “suicide mission”.
Japan has so far done a relatively good job at containing the virus, but was forced to declare a state of emergency last month in response to a new wave of cases. Uncertainty about the Olympics has weighed on markets. The Topix index has gained 7% so far this year, making it a global laggard.
Overseas investors dumped a net ¥1trn (£6.5bn) in local stocks during the second week of May, says Hideyuki Sano on Reuters, the biggest outflow since March 2020. The economic costs of cancelling the Olympics would be limited as Japan has already barred foreign tourists from attending. The games look set to deliver a stimulus equivalent to just 0.3% of GDP. That is a poor return given the risk of importing “multiple Covid-19 variants”.
MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Still, the long-term case for Japan is encouraging, says Simon Constable in The Wall Street Journal. The market was once shunned for its poor corporate governance, but reforms have forced Japan’s boardrooms to take shareholder value seriously. Schroders reports that the market’s average return on equity, a key gauge of profitability, has risen from 5% in 2013 to 6%-7% in 2019. That should spark more interest from global investors once the Olympics omnishambles has been sorted out.
-
Rachel Reeves's Autumn Budget: What it means for the UKOpinion A directionless and floundering government has ducked the hard choices at the Autumn Budget, says Simon Wilson
-
The reinvention of the high street – and how to investThe high street brands that can make shopping and leisure an enjoyable experience will thrive, says Maryam Cockar
-
The consequences of the Autumn Budget – and what it means for the UK economy
Opinion A directionless and floundering government has ducked the hard choices at the Autumn Budget, says Simon Wilson
-
Reinventing the high street – how to invest in the retailers driving the change
The high street brands that can make shopping and leisure an enjoyable experience will thrive, says Maryam Cockar
-
8 of the best houses for sale with electric vehicle chargingThe best houses for sale with electric vehicle charging – from a converted World War II control tower in Scotland, to a Victorian country house in Cumbria
-
Big Short investor Michael Burry closes hedge fund Scion CapitalProfile Michael Burry rightly bet against the US mortgage market before the 2008 crisis. Now he is worried about the AI boom
-
The global defence boom has moved beyond Europe – here’s how to profitOpinion Tom Bailey, head of research for the Future of Defence Indo-Pac ex-China UCITS ETF, picks three defence stocks where he'd put his money
-
Profit from a return to the office with WorkspaceWorkspace is an unloved play on the real estate investment trust sector as demand for flexible office space rises
-
New frontiers: the future of cybersecurity and how to investMatthew Partridge reviews the key trends in the cybersecurity sector and how to profit
-
An “existential crisis” for investment trusts? We’ve heard it all before in the 70sOpinion Those fearing for the future of investment trusts should remember what happened 50 years ago, says Max King
