Will the base metals rally last?

The price of copper, hit $7,000 a tonne last week, driven by soaring Chinese demand. Other metals are also on the way up. But can it continue?

Doctor Copper is in fine form, reports Tom Howard in The Times. The red metal hit $7,000 a tonne last week, a 28-month high. Used in everything from “electric vehicles to telecoms to water pipes”, it is a key gauge of the health of the global economy. Copper has gained more than 10% this year. 

The principal cause has been soaring Chinese demand, says Andy Home on Reuters. Smelters are racing to keep up with a construction and infrastructure boom triggered by a stimulus. By October China had already imported more refined copper than it did during the whole of last year. Bulls are also banking on higher US demand if Biden passes green spending plans, adds Howard. Meanwhile, civil strife in Chile (see page 12) is contributing to supply disruptions; the country accounts for 30% of global copper supply. 

Other metals are also shining, writes Will Horner in The Wall Street Journal. Tin has hit a 15-month high. Aluminium had lagged its peers thanks to a “glut” of stockpiles but is now rising. Close to 18-month highs, the metal has been lifted by robust global car demand and speculators banking on a catch-up rally. But don’t bet on an “out-and-out bull run”, cautions Capital Economics. Beyond China, the metals demand outlook remains shaky. The rally may have a bit further to run from here, but by 2022 ebbing Chinese stimulus could see prices heading back down.

Recommended

What is Rihanna's net worth?
Entrepreneurs

What is Rihanna's net worth?

Rihanna became the youngest self-made billionaire in 2022. Here’s how she made her money.
2 Jun 2023
Best savings accounts – June 2023
Savings

Best savings accounts – June 2023

Interest rates have been creeping up - we look at the best savings accounts on the market right now.
2 Jun 2023
Share tips of the week – 2 June
Investments

Share tips of the week – 2 June

MoneyWeek’s comprehensive guide to the best of this week’s share tips from the rest of the UK's financial pages.
2 Jun 2023
The best one-year fixed savings accounts - June 2023
Savings

The best one-year fixed savings accounts - June 2023

You can now earn 5% on 1 year fixed savings accounts - the best rate seen in 14 years. We have all the latest rates available now.
2 Jun 2023

Most Popular

June’s NS&I Premium Bond prize draw - are you this month’s millionaire?
Savings

June’s NS&I Premium Bond prize draw - are you this month’s millionaire?

Two fortunate NS&I Premium Bond winners are now millionaires. Find out here if you’re one of them.
1 Jun 2023
The best one-year fixed savings accounts - June 2023
Savings

The best one-year fixed savings accounts - June 2023

You can now earn 5% on 1 year fixed savings accounts - the best rate seen in 14 years. We have all the latest rates available now.
2 Jun 2023
The top healthcare funds to buy
Investments

The top healthcare funds to buy

Increasingly rapid progress in drugs and healthcare technology makes these trusts top tips, says Max King.
1 Jun 2023