The Brexit Party: a potent political threat

published 25 April 2019

944-Brexit-Party-634 — Farage with Annunziata Rees-Mogg to his right

The failure to deliver Brexit is "doing serious damage" to the Conservatives' electoral prospects and, assuming they take place, the European elections could provide the perfect opportunity for Tory Leavers to "express their disappointment", says John Curtice in The Daily Telegraph.

They also show a "surge in support" for Nigel Farage's recently launched Brexit Party, which would gain ten MEPs (candidates include Annunziata Rees-Mogg, the sister of Conservative MP Jacob Rees-Mogg, and ex-Communist Claire Fox). The Conservative Party is projected to win 12 seats, Ukip nine, the Liberal Democrats six and the newly formed anti-Brexit Change UK four.A recent internal poll from the European Parliament gave Labour an even bigger lead, with 28 seats.

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Theresa May's best chance of stopping all this is to reach an agreement with Labour, says Adam Boulton in The Sunday Times. "Inconveniently," however, party rivalries are "already inflamed"by campaigns for local elections on2 May. And if May were to "conclude her courtship with Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party and sign up to a permanent customs union and alignment with single-market rules support for her party could collapse", says Nigel Farage in The Daily Telegraph.

Farage's Brexit Party, "freed of some of the Ukip fruitcakes'", could be a "potent political threat" to the Tories and Labour, says Richard Littlejohn in the Daily Mail. There is a still a chance that the Tories could "jettison May immediately" and choose a leader committed to Brexit to avoid participation in these "ludicrous" EU elections, but "I'm not holding my breath". With the Faragistas "surging ahead" (his party already has more than 100,000 registered supporters, notes Matthew Goodwin in The Daily Telegraph), they could "annihilate both main parties".

Farage has already said that he plans to target the millions of Labour voters who voted for Brexit, says Sam Coates inThe Times. Indeed, he plans to use a quote from Adonis, who told an LBC phone-in last September, "If you're a Brexiteer, I hope you won't vote for the Labour Party". Adonis told The Times that he made the remark before the party adopted the referendum policy, and urged both Leavers and Remainers to vote for Labour.

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Emily has worked as a journalist for more than thirty years and was formerly Assistant Editor of MoneyWeek, which she helped launch in 2000. Prior to this, she was Deputy Features Editor of The Times and a Commissioning Editor for The Independent on Sunday and The Daily Telegraph. She has written for most of the national newspapers including The Times, the Daily and Sunday Telegraph, The Evening Standard and The Daily Mail, She interviewed celebrities weekly for The Sunday Telegraph and wrote a regular column for The Evening Standard. As Political Editor of MoneyWeek, Emily has covered subjects from Brexit to the Gaza war.

Aside from her writing, Emily trained as Nutritional Therapist following her son's diagnosis with Type 1 diabetes in 2011 and now works as a practitioner for Nature Doc, offering one-to-one consultations and running workshops in Oxfordshire.