Iron ore, the main ingredient in steel, has suffered a nasty slump. Prices for iron ore delivered to the Chinese port of Qingdao have plummeted below $50 a ton (see chart), the weakest level since the data series began in 2008. Projecting the series further back suggests prices are at a ten-year low.
A rapid recovery is not on the cards. Demand from China has slid as its credit and property bubble have deflated. It would take a major stimulus, as opposed to recent micro-measures, to reverse this trend. Hence global consumption will fall this year, for the first time since 2009, reckons Deutsche Bank.
However, the flood of new supply from major miners such as Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton shows no sign of reversing just yet: they say they want to sell as much as possible for now, and would only start making losses if prices fall to $30 a ton.
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
-
ONS wage growth data puts Bank of England UK interest rate cuts into doubt, analysts warnNews ONS wage growth data has shown earnings are continuing to rise at an inflation-busting rate. It means cuts to the base rate may come later in the summer
-
Most expensive street in Britain to buy on has houses with '£10m average asking price', Rightmove findsNews Rightmove found Buckingham Gate, close to Buckingham Palace, was the most expensive street in the country. Do you live near one that's been included on the list?
-
What would the greatest mathematician of the Middle Ages say about gold today?Sponsored Italian mathematician Fibonacci is most famous for a curious sequence of numbers. Continuing his series on technical analysis, Dominic Frisby explains what these numbers are, and what they can tell us about gold’s next move.
-
How moving averages can reveal trades worth betting on – and ones to avoidSponsored Dominic Frisby looks in more depth at how moving averages can help you catch turning points in markets and help you decide which trades are worth pursuing.
-
This chart pattern could be extraordinarily bullish for goldCharts The mother of all patterns is developing in the gold charts, says Dominic Frisby. And if everything plays out well, gold could hit a price that investors could retire on.
-
Believe it or not, this market is a “buy”Charts With the world in the state it’s in and the market so volatile, buying stocks right now might go against all your instincts. But that’s just what you should be doing, says Dominic Frisby. Here, he explains why.
-
Chart of the week: avocados and bitcoin are in syncCharts An amusing new spurious correlation has been spotted between the price of bitcoin and Mexican Hass avocados. In reality, of course, they have nothing to do with each other beyond “superficial price action”.
-
Chart of the week: Kuwait's stockmarket is ready for take-offCharts Kuwait's stockmarket is due to be promoted from “frontier” status to an emerging market by index provider MSCI next June. That should entice almost $10bn of global investors’ cash into the country.
-
Chart of the week: US stocks outrun profitsCharts The US stockmarket has become totally detached from underlying profits of its constituent companies over the past three years.
-
Chart of the week: Dr Copper diagnoses an ailing economyCharts The price of copper has slipped by a fifth this year and is now at a near-two-year low of around $5,600 a tonne.
