What is the 25x retirement rule and does it work?

The 25x retirement rule has been around for decades but many experts question if it is a suitable strategy

older person checking calendar
(Image credit: Getty Images/Westend61)

Making sure you have enough income for your golden years is the ultimate aim when putting money into a pension.

But with retirement costs rising and market volatility hitting pension pots, it can be hard to know how much you need to set aside.

MoneyWeek

Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE

Get 6 issues free
https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/flexiimages/mw70aro6gl1676370748.jpg

Sign up to Money Morning

Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter

Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter

Sign up

The 25x rule explained

The 25x rule for retirement was first coined in a 1998 Trinity University study.

It works in combination with the 4% pension withdrawal rate rule, that dictates how much people can safely take from their pension each year in retirement without running out of cash.

The idea behind the 25x rule is that saving 25 times your annual expenses can provide a target retirement nest egg based on the 4% withdrawal rate.

Research from Shepherds Friendly suggests that to live financially independently for 25 years, the average UK household would need to save £743,338 based on typical expenses.

The figure rise to more than £1m for higher earners.

The method does have some critics though.

Should you follow the 25x rule?

Experts suggest the 25x rule works more as a rough guide but is far from perfect.

Philly Ponniah, chartered wealth manager at Philly Financial, said: “It assumes you’ll withdraw about 4% a year, markets will deliver steady returns, and your spending won’t change. In reality, spending often runs higher in early retirement, drops as we slow down, then climbs again with care.

"Big variables like inflation, care costs, and how long you live can swing the numbers considerably.

“The 25x rule is still a useful starting point, but it’s not a guarantee. A modern approach means adjusting withdrawals, blending income sources, and modelling the life you actually want to live.”

The rule also ignores the benefits from the state pension.

Scott Gallacher, director at financial advisory firm Rowley Turton, highlights that a couple spending £30,000 a year from age 60 would need £750,000 under the 25x rule.

But in reality, from age 68 they’d receive about £24,000 a year in state pensions, leaving just £6,000 a year to cover. That needs roughly £190,000.

Gallacher said: “Add another £192,000 to cover the eight years before pensions start, and the total comes to around £382,000 — almost half the scary figure quoted. Big headline numbers risk backfiring, as they can put people off saving altogether because 'what's the point.’”

Ultimately, everyone has different expenses and spending patterns so it can be hard to rely on an average measure.

Ross Lacey, director at Fairview Financial Management, said: “These rules of thumb, are just that - a general guide. Everybody is different in terms of the other sources of income they can tap into during retirement. From final salary pensions, to rental income, to releasing equity from the main home.”

Marc Shoffman
Contributing editor

Marc Shoffman is an award-winning freelance journalist specialising in business, personal finance and property. His work has appeared in print and online publications ranging from FT Business to The Times, Mail on Sunday and the i newspaper. He also co-presents the In For A Penny financial planning podcast.