How to profit from India’s high-tech recovery

Professional investor David Cornell of the India Capital Growth Fund, selects three of his favourite Indian stocks to buy now.

Consumption patterns and corporate strategy in India have changed significantly in response to the pandemic, and keen-eyed investors have noticed. Widespread smartphone usage, combined with lockdowns, have accelerated the advent of e-commerce and digital banking. India’s young population are early digital adopters, and the country’s advanced tech ecosystem is first-class. Data is cheaper than anywhere, and per-capita usage is the highest globally; 99% of all online activity happens on smartphones.

Similarly, India’s next generation of vehicle buyers will not be wedded to the merits of combustion engines and will willingly “go electric”, since most will be first-timers. An open-minded society combined with a vast population of consumers (50% of which are under 25) suggests that vehicle manufacturers will see India, not Europe or China, as the real market of the future.

Another side-effect of the pandemic has been the urgency with which multinational corporations are diversifying supply-chain risk away from China owing to mounting political tensions with Western countries. This bodes well for India, a winner in sectors such as electrical equipment, speciality chemicals and pharmaceutical production. This is largely due to an English-speaking workforce, lower labour costs (now one third of China’s) and ongoing deregulation fostering enterprise.

Subscribe to MoneyWeek

Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE

Get 6 issues free

Sign up to Money Morning

Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter

Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter

Sign up

Affle: the boom in digital advertising

Affle (Mumbai: AFFLE) is a digital-advertising technology agency that operates only via smartphone. It stands to profit from an increase in post-Covid-19 digital spending. It adopts a targeted advertising approach, and is rewarded only when customers are converted to a service or product. It uses artificial-intelligence (AI) algorithms to create a virtuous circle whereby the more data is applied the more conversions occur, which in turn encourages more advertising through its platform. Affle is expected to grow sales by an annual 47% over the next three years. Profits should grow at a similar pace.

Sona Blw: exporting Tesla parts to China

Equally affected by consumers’ changing habits is Sona Blw (Mumbai: SONACOMS), an automotive-component manufacturer; specialisms include starter motors. It is a direct beneficiary of electric-vehicle (EV) adoption globally, as its precision-engineered parts are critical to an EV’s high-torque requirements. As the sole supplier to Tesla’s China plant (as well as to other car manufacturers globally), Sona is a recent example of Indian companies exporting to China. Profits are set to grow handsomely as EV sales ramp up globally.

Dixon Technologies: a leader in outsourcing

A low-cost producer of electrical equipment such as LED lighting, washing machines, TVs and smartphones, Dixon Technologies (Mumbai: DIXON) benefits from the government’s policies aimed at reducing Chinese imports.

As well as being an outsourcing solution for the global branded manufacturers needing to reduce manufacturing costs, it also provides a supply-side alternative to China, and enables these companies to penetrate India’s huge consumer market. We expect Dixon to generate annual sales growth of more than 45% over the next three years while maintaining its industry-leading return on capital of over 30%.

David Cornell

David Cornell contributes to share tips on MoneyWeek on an ad-hoc basis. He resides in London but lived in Mumbai for three years where he was the Principal Advisor at Ocean Dial Advisers Private Ltd. After 2013 David moved to London and became the CIO at Ocean Dial, and he has been carrying this title for more than 9 years. David is a trustee of the Shackelton Foundation and he graduated from the University of Durham with a degree in English and History. He was also in the British Army from 1991-1995.