An investment trust to tap into the US market's galloping growth
This America-focused investment trust from Baillie Gifford allows investors to profit from rapid technological change, says Max King.
In early 2018 many financial experts advocated a switch out of the supposedly overvalued US market, driven ever higher by the technology giants, into the languishing but cheap UK market with its tempting yield. So when Baillie Gifford launched its US Growth Trust (LSE: USA), it raised just £173m.
Since then, the FTSE All-Share index has fallen by 20% while the S&P 500 has gained 5% (15% in sterling terms). BG US, now a £450m trust, has returned over 80%. Gary Robinson, its co-manager, remains as confident as ever about the outlook.
“We are in a period of unprecedented change,” he says. “People are being forced to change habits and will find the new way better. The future is being pulled forward and the spread between winners and losers will get bigger.”
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Jumpstarting US e-commerce
For example, only 15% of retail sales in the US were online before lockdowns, but since then Amazon has had to recruit another 175,000 people. Around 95% of contacts with the doctor were visits in person rather than online, but Teladoc saw its usage jump by 90% year-on-year in the first quarter.
Wayfair, the online furnishings company, has seen revenue growth accelerate from 20% per annum to 90%. As for working from home , “nine to five is an anachronism in a creative and information-led economy. We will go back into offices but it won’t be the same as before.”
US Growth follows the familiar Baillie Gifford style. It is “long-termist” with annual portfolio turnover in the mid-teens and investments bought on a five-to-ten-year view.
Management is “genuinely active” with 40%-50% of the portfolio in the top ten holdings and a low overlap with market indices. Also key is “the unashamed pursuit of out-and-out growth, which is the engine of long term wealth creation”.
“A surprisingly large number of our companies are doing well,” says Robinson. Zoom “has been instrumental in enabling business to continue”. Moderna is pioneering messenger RNA vaccines, including one that could combat Covid-19; it is already in human trials. Messenger RNA is a molecule that instructs cells in the body to produce proteins, and variants of it have broad applications in enabling the human body to defend itself against viruses. Robinson acknowledges that some of the trust’s investments “are on the wrong side of current markets”. These include Lyft, the ride-hailing company (down 75% in April). But with zero exposure to energy, mining and other “old economy” subsectors, the losers are few.
The fund’s 17 unquoted holdings account for 14% of the portfolio. They include Airbnb, SpaceX (part of the Elon Musk empire) and Stripe, “one of the most exciting companies in the world” based on a novel internet payment network for businesses. SpaceX targets “economically viable space travel based on re-usable rockets. It is way ahead of the competition, having launched six rockets carrying 60 satellites each to enable high speed internet anywhere.”
Years of progress ahead
Robinson dismisses fears that his key holdings are threatened by competition or market maturity. For instance, as well as its strengths in retail, Amazon web services has $40bn of revenue in a market worth trillions. Shopify, another large holding, allows retailers to build their own website and control their own brands. As for Tesla, “it is inevitable that electric cars become mainstream and Tesla is increasing its market lead... sceptics of the Model Y SUV and Cybertruck have been confounded”.
The short-term valuation of many of the holdings may be eye watering but the long-term prospects for America’s technology revolution far exceed the recovery potential of the UK market.
Sign up to Money Morning
Our team, led by award winning editors, is dedicated to delivering you the top news, analysis, and guides to help you manage your money, grow your investments and build wealth.
Max has an Economics degree from the University of Cambridge and is a chartered accountant. He worked at Investec Asset Management for 12 years, managing multi-asset funds investing in internally and externally managed funds, including investment trusts. This included a fund of investment trusts which grew to £120m+. Max has managed ten investment trusts (winning many awards) and sat on the boards of three trusts – two directorships are still active.
After 39 years in financial services, including 30 as a professional fund manager, Max took semi-retirement in 2017. Max has been a MoneyWeek columnist since 2016 writing about investment funds and more generally on markets online, plus occasional opinion pieces. He also writes for the Investment Trust Handbook each year and has contributed to The Daily Telegraph and other publications. See here for details of current investments held by Max.
-
Japan’s new PM Shigeru Ishiba calls snap election – why now?
The new leader, Shigeru Ishiba, has called a snap election seeking a new mandate just three days into his post. What does this mean for the country's economy?
By Emily Hohler Published
-
Global car shares slide amid lower demand in China – what happens now?
Has the car sector run into trouble? Britain’s Aston Martin and Germany’s Volkswagen are among the key automobile brands that have issued profit warnings.
By Alex Rankine Published
-
Halifax: House price slump continues as prices slide for the sixth consecutive month
UK house prices fell again in September as buyers returned, but the slowdown was not as fast as anticipated, latest Halifax data shows. Where are house prices falling the most?
By Kalpana Fitzpatrick Published
-
Rents hit a record high - but is the opportunity for buy-to-let investors still strong?
UK rent prices have hit a record high with the average hitting over £1,200 a month says Rightmove. Are there still opportunities in buy-to-let?
By Marc Shoffman Published
-
Pension savers turn to gold investments
Investors are racing to buy gold to protect their pensions from a stock market correction and high inflation, experts say
By Ruth Emery Published
-
Where to find the best returns from student accommodation
Student accommodation can be a lucrative investment if you know where to look.
By Marc Shoffman Published
-
Best investing apps
We round up the best investing apps. Looking for an easy-to-use app to help you start investing, keep track of your portfolio or make trades on the go?
By Ruth Emery Last updated
-
The world’s best bargain stocks
Searching for bargain stocks with Alec Cutler of the Orbis Global Balanced Fund, who tells Andrew Van Sickle which sectors are being overlooked.
By Andrew Van Sickle Published
-
Revealed: the cheapest cities to own a home in Britain
New research reveals the cheapest cities to own a home, taking account of mortgage payments, utility bills and council tax
By Ruth Emery Published
-
UK recession: How to protect your portfolio
As the UK recession is confirmed, we look at ways to protect your wealth.
By Henry Sandercock Last updated