Expect 'seven lean years' for the stockmarkets

Markets are displaying a 'complete disregard for reality' - valuations are looking stretched and fundamentals are lousy. We should expect seven years of very slow recovery.

Markets are displaying a "complete disregard for reality", says Rana Foroohar in Newsweek. Just about everything has rocketed since this year's rally began. The MSCI World Index is up 68%, while emerging markets have almost doubled. And crude oil has gained 132% from its lows.

So watch out: valuations are looking "stretched", says Capital Economics. The cyclically adjusted S&P 500 p/e ratio (which uses an average of the last ten years' earnings to smooth out the effect of the profit cycle) is at 20. The long-term average is just below 15.

Subscribe to MoneyWeek

Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE

Get 6 issues free
https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/flexiimages/mw70aro6gl1676370748.jpg

Sign up to Money Morning

Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter

Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter

Sign up
MoneyWeek

MoneyWeek is written by a team of experienced and award-winning journalists, plus expert columnists. As well as daily digital news and features, MoneyWeek also publishes a weekly magazine, covering investing and personal finance. From share tips, pensions, gold to practical investment tips - we provide a round-up to help you make money and keep it.