Betting on politics: Some good bets on the US mid-terms

The mid-term elections in the US may be drawing closer, says Matthew Partridge – but their are still some good bets to be had.

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Elizabeth Warren: a good bet
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Paddy Power has scaled back its political bets a bit, but it is still offering markets on all the Senate races in the upcoming elections. What's more, some of its odds are quite generous. For example, it has the Democrats at 1/10 (90.9%) to win in Massachusetts. While this may seem short odds, you have to remember that this is one of the "bluest" states in America, and the incumbent is possible presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren. Go ahead and fill your boots.

Virginia is a little more complicated. From 1968 until the2008 election it voted solidly Republican in presidential elections. However, population growth in northern Virginia and the Washington DC suburbs means that it is increasingly leaning towards the Democrats. In any case, incumbent Tim Kaine leads Trump fanatic Republican Corey Stewart in the polls by nearly 20 percentage points. This means that Paddy Power's 1/7 (87.5%) is actually pretty good value.

MoneyWeek

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Dr Matthew Partridge
MoneyWeek Shares editor