Company in the news: Unilever
Big consumer companies such as Unilever are popular with investors, says Phil Oakley. But is it worth the price?
Investors have developed a liking for consumer companies such as Unilever (LSE: ULVR). That's because branded products tend to have lots of loyal customers. This makes for reasonably predictable profits and respectable returns on assets.
And with Unilever there's supposed to be another attraction emerging markets. The company gets more than half of its sales from emerging economies and that is supposed to grow profits faster.
Trouble is, sales in emerging markets are going up, but not as fast as the City expected. True, they increased by 6.3% in the last quarter, but that's probably not good enough when sales in Europe are shrinking.
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Throw in the fact that exchange rates are working against the company, and Unilever's earnings are not expected to grow this year.
It's not all bad news though. Unilever's personal care around two billion people a day use Unilever products and ice cream businesses are doing well and taking market share from the competition.
What's more, profit margins are being maintained as the company cuts costs. So Unilever should still generate plenty of cash to pay dividends.
Apart from profits growth, the main stumbling block is Unilever's share price. Paying over 20 times earnings for a business that isn't really growing is hard to justify. On the other hand, it's paying out around 90p a year in dividends, giving it a reasonable yield of 3.4%.
Verdict: hold
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Phil spent 13 years as an investment analyst for both stockbroking and fund management companies.
After graduating with a MSc in International Banking, Economics & Finance from Liverpool Business School in 1996, Phil went to work for BWD Rensburg, a Liverpool based investment manager. In 2001, he joined ABN AMRO as a transport analyst. After a brief spell as a food retail analyst, he spent five years with ABN's very successful UK Smaller Companies team where he covered engineering, transport and support services stocks.
In 2007, Phil joined Halbis Capital Management as a European equities analyst. He began writing for MoneyWeek in 2010.
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