Tesco gets a new boss – but it’s not time to buy yet
Tesco may be making changes at the top, but the supermarket giant will struggle to return to its glory days, says Ed Bowsher.
Tesco's chief executive, Phil Clarke, is on the way out. He's failed to turn around the supermarket giant.
And to add insult to injury for Clarke, the share price has bounced even although Tesco has also issued a profit warning with sales and trading profits for the first half "somewhat below expectations".
Dave Lewis, a senior executive at consumer goods giant Unilever, is taking the reins. Lewis is the first outsider' ever to be appointed as Tesco boss. Until now, he's spent his whole career at Unilever.
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
He successfully turned round its Irish business a few years ago, and is currently the boss of the personal care' division. And investors are impressed by his ability to build brands, according to The Telegraph. That could prove useful, as there's no doubt that Tesco's brand has been tarnished in the eyes of at least some consumers.
But can one man turn Tesco around? Or is there a bigger problem here?
So should you buy the shares?
What's more, my colleague, Bengt Saelensminde reckons that Tesco could be a great turnaround play' with the potential to become a dotcom giant'.
However, I'm not convinced. The trouble is that Tesco has invested huge amounts in large out-of-town stores, and many of these stores are no longer performing that well.
That means Tesco isn't getting a great return on its investment. Indeed, according to Stockopedia, Tesco'sreturn on equityis currently 11.9%, which isn't great.
As Matthew Lynn noted in MoneyWeek magazine last month: "The hard truth is that [the big supermarkets] built too much capacity during the boom years". Now they're lumbered with assets that aren't generating a decent return.
Tesco's other big problem is that it's traditionally had a generous profit margin of around 6%. That's a high margin in food retail, and although it was nice for shareholders to have for a long time, it left Tesco vulnerable to competition from the likes of Aldi and Lidl at the budget end of the market.
I fear that Tesco will struggle to return to its glory days. Lewis may be a very talented executive, but in the end, he's probably going to have to close some stores and cut margins. With that background, it will be hard to grow profits at any kind of speed. That means the shares could have further to fall.
Sign up to Money Morning
Our team, led by award winning editors, is dedicated to delivering you the top news, analysis, and guides to help you manage your money, grow your investments and build wealth.
Ed has been a private investor since the mid-90s and has worked as a financial journalist since 2000. He's been employed by several investment websites including Citywire, breakingviews and The Motley Fool, where he was UK editor.
Ed mainly invests in technology shares, pharmaceuticals and smaller companies. He's also a big fan of investment trusts.
Away from work, Ed is a keen theatre goer and loves all things Canadian.
Follow Ed on Twitter
-
M&S and Tesco among those warning of a £7bn Budget hit
Seventy-nine UK retailers have written to Chancellor Rachel Reeves about possible price rises and job cuts - here is what it means
By Chris Newlands Published
-
How much does it cost to move home under the Labour government?
Home-moving costs are rising and could get more expensive once stamp duty thresholds drop in April 2025
By Marc Shoffman Published
-
How to profit from rising food prices: which stocks should you invest in?
Tips Food prices are rising – we look at the stocks to avoid and the one to invest in this sector.
By Bruce Packard Published
-
Tesco looks well-placed to ride out the cost of living crisis – investors take note
Analysis Surging inflation is bad news for retailers. But supermarket giant Tesco looks better placed to cope than most, says Rupert Hargreaves.
By Rupert Hargreaves Published
-
Tesco sells its retail subsidiary in Thailand and Malaysia for £8bn
News Tesco has agreed to sell its southeast Asian operations to Thai conglomerate Charoen Pokphand for £8.2bn in cash.
By Dr Matthew Partridge Published
-
Tesco should keep its Asian assets
Opinion The £7bn that Tesco could get for its Tesco Lotus business in Asia looks enticing. But holding on to it would be smarter, says Matthew Lynn.
By Matthew Lynn Published
-
Tesco cashes out of the mortgage business
Features Tesco Bank has left the mortgage market by selling its £3.7bn loan book. Its 23,000 customers will be moved to the Halifax, a subsidiary of Lloyds.
By Dr Matthew Partridge Published
-
Share tips of the week
Features MoneyWeek’s comprehensive guide to the best of this week’s share tips from the rest of the UK's financial pages.
By moneyweek Published
-
Tesco wields the axe
Features Britain’s biggest supermarket is cutting back on staff and fresh food. Will the move prove counterproductive? Matthew Partridge reports.
By Dr Matthew Partridge Published
-
If you'd invested in: Tesco and Associated British Foods
Features Tesco has seen its market value rise almost 50% in a year, while AB Foods has seen shares slide despite a rise in profits.
By Alice Gråhns Published