The dollar makes its turn – but will it last?

The dollar has made a change of course in the charts. John C Burford goes in search of a low-risk trade.

On Wednesday, I suggested that the US dollar was ripe for a turn to the downside following its scorching bull run over the past few weeks (much to the amazement of the majority, of course).

What I wrote then was: "I have placed my Elliott wave (EW) labels where the latest plunge is a clear third wave (it is long and very strong). And now, the market is entering the price region where the previous major low was made, and this represents potential support. The third wave may have trouble getting through this area, and would be a fitting place for the third wave to terminate".

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John is is a British-born lapsed PhD physicist, who previously worked for Nasa on the Mars exploration team. He is a former commodity trading advisor with the US Commodities Futures Trading Commission, and worked in a boutique futures house in California in the 1980s.

 

He was a partner in one of the first futures newsletter advisory services, based in Washington DC, specialising in pork bellies and currencies. John is primarily a chart-reading trader, having cut his trading teeth in the days before PCs.

 

As well as his work in the financial world, he has launched, run and sold several 'real' businesses producing 'real' products.