Finding the price path of least resistance

The euro market is looking very polarised at the moment. Which side will be proved right? John C Burford looks to the charts to find out.

A number of people have asked me to cover the euro since I last looked at that market on 10 October. Today's a great time to look at it, since there's some really tremendous tramline work to show. As good students of my methods, I am sure many of you have been trading the euro with similar tramlines.

Let me back up to over a month ago and recap the situation on the daily chart:

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OPEN INTEREST: 231,660
COMMITMENTS
39,863123,5092,568150,42848,432192,859174,50938,80157,151
CHANGES FROM 11/06/12 (CHANGE IN OPEN INTEREST: 3,935)
-5,34911,156-1047,237-6,4321,7844,6202,151-685
PERCENT OF OPEN INTEREST FOR EACH CATEGORY OF TRADERS
17.253.31.164.920.983.375.316.724.7
NUMBER OF TRADERS IN EACH CATEGORY (TOTAL TRADERS: 172)
335916525295117Row 8 - Cell 7 Row 8 - Cell 8

John is is a British-born lapsed PhD physicist, who previously worked for Nasa on the Mars exploration team. He is a former commodity trading advisor with the US Commodities Futures Trading Commission, and worked in a boutique futures house in California in the 1980s.

 

He was a partner in one of the first futures newsletter advisory services, based in Washington DC, specialising in pork bellies and currencies. John is primarily a chart-reading trader, having cut his trading teeth in the days before PCs.

 

As well as his work in the financial world, he has launched, run and sold several 'real' businesses producing 'real' products.