How ‘vast majority’ of pensioners could miss out on state pension tax concession
Only one in 18 pensioners will benefit from the government’s planned income tax breaks, research suggests. Are there alternative options that would help more retirees?
The “vast majority” of pensioners will miss out on the government’s plans for an income tax exemption from next year, new research suggests.
In the 2025 Budget, chancellor Rachel Reeves announced pensioners whose sole income is the basic or new state pension would not need to pay the “small amounts” of tax via simple assessment if the state pension exceeds the tax-free personal allowance from 2027/28.
It was positioned as easing the “administrative burden” but the government has since clarified pensioners in this situation won’t have to pay income tax at all from 2027/28, if their pension exceeds the personal allowance from that point
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It came as the chancellor announced the allowance would be frozen at £12,570 until at least April 2031. The threshold last increased in April 2021.
This proposed waiver is intended to stop pensioners solely reliant on the state pension (with no other taxable income or pension ‘increments’) having to pay tax on the payment.
How will the government proposals affect different groups of pensioners?
Webb has called the disparity of treatment between groups of pensioners under the proposed scheme “bizarre”, as LCP’s research flags how few people will actually benefit from the move.
The firm’s new report, ‘The tax treatment of state pensioners’ highlights that anyone who reached pension age before 2016 – when the flat-rate, single tier system replaced the two-tier system of basic plus additional state pension (SERPS or S2P) – will not benefit.
LCP said based on current data for 2025/26, none of the 8.1 million pensioners in the old state pension system will qualify for the exemption. This is either because they are only receiving the old state pension, which at £9,614 a year currently falls below the income tax threshold anyway or – in the case of 6.5 million of them – because they also receive additional state pension (either under SERPS or state second pension) and therefore are receiving a pension “increment” on top of the basic payment.
Similarly, most of the five million people on the new state pension (anyone hitting retirement age after 2016) may also miss out.
The firm calculated that 290,000 are not based in the UK; one million receive pension ‘increments’ or protected payments; 1.1 million have a new state pension rate that will remain below the income tax threshold in the next three years; and 1.8 million have other taxable income, such as private pensions or investment income so they are not solely dependent on the state.
Using the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) outlook, LCP calculated the estimated tax levels due over the remaining tax years (under this Parliament), assuming the state pension will rise by 3.7% in April 2027 and then by at least 2.5% in April 2028 and 2029.
Webb said the outlook presents some potential “cliff edges”, pushing people with even £1 of other income into a very different tax position than those without.
He said: “Someone who qualifies for this tax break in 2027/28 does not have to pay tax but someone who just misses out because of £1 of other income… will have to pay income tax not just on the £1 but also on the income tax on their state pension – a further £88. Over time this cliff edge will increase, to £153 in 2028/29 to £220 in 2029/30.”
The table below shows how much income tax would be payable without the proposed concession, for someone solely dependent on the new state pension.
Year | Full new state pension amount | Tax-free allowance | Tax due (without concession) |
2026/27 | £12,548 | £12,570 | Nil |
2027/28 | £13,012 | £12,570 | £88 |
2028/29 | £13,337 | £12,570 | £153 |
2029/30 | £13,671 | £12,570 | £220 |
Source: LCP, calculations based on the OBR’s March 2026 Economic and Fiscal Outlook for April 2027/28, then assumes a minimum increase of 2.5%.
Webb gives the example of someone with a small pension pot under auto-enrolment who cashes it out at retirement, therefore taking some taxable income and no longer being classed as solely dependent on the state.
Speaking to MoneyWeek, he said the government’s reference to the old basic state pension might be perceived as an even-handed benefit, whereas it was more of a red herring.
He said: “Freezing tax thresholds for a year or two is manageable. Freezing them for nearly a decade creates more unintended consequences by making a structural shift to the tax system in a ‘back-door’ fashion that isn’t fully thought through.
“Instead, we need a fundamental ‘root-and-branch’ review of the system – why we have tax thresholds in the first place, whether we should have the same rates for pensioners as for working people and so on.”
What are some alternative ideas to the new tax concession for pensioners soley getting the state pension?
He said he appreciates this is being presented as a short-term fix to the end of the current Parliament and is suggesting two potentially ‘cleaner’ solutions.
One option, albeit more expensive than the current proposal, is a broad-brush increase in the tax allowance for all pensioners.
Webb added: “But this would come at a considerable cost because it would also benefit the eight-million-plus pensioners already paying tax. This would not be a targeted solution to the problem.”
He also suggested writing off all small tax bills for pensioners, which would be a cheaper, more targeted option focused on the group of most concern. It would also not discriminate between those on the old and new tax systems.
“But it would still be only a temporary fix and would still leave any future government with a headache as to how to tackle the growing cost of such a measure.”
Webb added that the government already has a line at which it writes off small tax bills but it’s just less well-documented.
“I'm pretty sure HMRC doesn’t send out self assessment demand letters for amounts of £4. It’s taxpayers’ money and why shouldn’t that be paid? We know they clearly have a line already, all I'm saying is just make it bigger.”
LCP also warns the policy presents potential problems for the next government as any write-offs get more expensive over time.
Webb said: “By 2029/30 it looks as though the pensioners who do benefit will have over £200 per year in income tax written off. If the policy continues into the next Parliament it will get more and more expensive with every passing year, but will be hard to switch off – a bit like the triple lock.”
A HM Treasury spokesperson said: “Pensioners whose only income is the basic or new state pension, without any increments, will not have to pay income tax over this Parliament. “
