Autumn Budget live: Will Rachel Reeves hike taxes?

National Living Wage and National Minimum Wage to rise

Chancellor Rachel Reeves has unveiled another sweetener this evening ahead of the Autumn Budget by announcing an increase to the National Living Wage (NLW) and also the National Minimum Wage (NMW).

From 1 April 2026, the NLW will rise by 4.1% to £12.71 per hour for eligible workers aged 21 and over.

This will increase the gross annual earnings of a full-time worker on the NLW by £900, benefiting around 2.4 million low-paid workers, the Treasury said.

The NMW rate for 18 to 20-year-olds will also increase by 8.5% to £10.85 per hour.

This will mean an annual earnings increase of £1,500 for a full-time worker, and marks further progress towards the government’s goal of phasing out 18-20 wage bands and establishing a single adult rate.

The NMW for 16 to 17-year-olds and those on apprenticeships will increase by 6% to £8 per hour.

It is good news for employees but employers may worry about the extra costs after already being hit with National Insurance hikes in the previous Budget.

The benefits of the pay rise may also be offset though by other rumoured policies such as a clampdown on salary sacrifice for pension contributions and an extension of frozen income tax thresholds, putting more people at risk of fiscal drag.

Marc Shoffman, contributing editor

What do we know about the Budget so far?

While a lot is still under wraps, the Treasury has confirmed a number of policies in recent days.

Reeves is extending the freeze on NHS prescription charges next year, saving patients in England around £12 million, the government said.

A single prescription will remain at £9.90 and three-month and annual prescriptions prepayment certificates will also be held at the current level for 2026/27.

On Sunday, the Treasury announced all regulated rail fares would be frozen next year, for the first time in 30 years.

The chancellor is also set to confirm the state pension will rise by 4.8% during tomorrow’s speech, affecting 13 million pensioners.

Find out what we know so far about Rachel Reeves’s 2025 Autumn Budget in our guide.

Soft drink levy extended

The soft drinks industry levy will be expanded to include sugary milk-based drinks, Health Secretary Wes Streeting announced today.

The changes will affect pre-packaged milk-based and milk-alternative drinks with added sugar, such as supermarket milkshakes, flavoured milks, sweetened yoghurt drinks, chocolate milk drinks, and ready-to-drink coffees.

This does not include plain, unsweetened milk and milk-alternative drinks.

The government will also reduce the threshold from 5 grams to 4.5 grams of sugar per 100ml.

Businesses will have until 1 January 2028 to reduce sugar in their drinks, or face the levy.

Health and Social Care Secretary Wes Streeting said: "The levy has already shown that when industry cuts sugar levels, children’s health improves. So, we’re going further.

“A healthier nation will mean less pressure on our NHS, a healthier economy, and a happier society.”

The government expects the changes to raise £40 million to £45 million per year in extra tax receipts, once introduced on 1 January 2028.

Help to Save scheme set to be expanded

The chancellor is expected to make the Help to Save scheme permanent from 2028. It had been due to end in 2027.

It is also set to be opened up to parents and carers on Universal Credit from 2028.

Help to Save offers a 50% boost on savings in the scheme – giving eligible savers a potential government bonus of £1,200 over four years.

The best and worst case scenarios for the financial markets

What’s the best and worst we can realistically hope for in the Budget, and how might the markets respond?

“Arguably the best case scenario for financial markets would be the unveiling of more rosier than expected projections for both UK growth and productivity, and a smaller fiscal gap than previously feared,” says Matthew Ryan, head of market strategy at global financial services firm Ebury.

That would reduce the size of the fiscal deficit, enabling Reeves to maintain credibility by plugging it with narrower, more targeted tax hikes and avoiding the need to breach any of its manifesto pledges.

But the chances of things panning out this way don’t seem strong.

“We are bracing for some curveballs,” says Ryan. “Investors will be on high alert for any unexpected tax increases, and the risk of both higher borrowing forecasts and further above-inflation spending hikes.”

A tax-heavy Budget could see sterling sell off, and given the anticipated negative impact on growth, could lead to faster rate cuts from the Bank of England.

“A more growth friendly budget would have the opposite effect, as easing bets in favour of MPC cuts would amplify upside in the pound,” says Ryan.

Dan McEvoy, senior writer

Will the cash ISA limit be cut?

Reeves is set to cut the annual cash ISA limit to £12,000 in the Autumn Budget, the Financial Times reports.

There is currently an overall £20,000 annual allowance for ISAs – this can be split across different types of ISA. For example, you could put £5,000 into a cash ISA and £15,000 into a stocks and shares ISA in a tax year, or you could use the whole annual allowance by putting £20,000 into a cash ISA if you wanted.

It's been suggested such a move could incentivise savers to put their money into a stocks and shares ISA instead, potentially boosting the British stock market.

In March, Reeves said she was seeking to “get the balance right between cash and equities to earn better returns for savers” and “boost the culture of retail investment” in the UK.

However, critics warn against the idea. The Building Societies Association, which represents 43 UK building societies and six credit unions, said building societies use cash ISA deposits to fund mortgages, so cutting the limit could make lending more expensive.

Meanwhile, Dame Meg Hillier, chair of the Treasury Select Committee, said now isn’t the right time to cut the cash ISA allowance. She added: “Instead, the Treasury should focus on ensuring that people are equipped with the necessary information and confidence to make informed investment decisions.”

What would a cash ISA allowance cut mean for savers?

The average amount saved into a cash ISA in 2023/24 was less than £7,000 per person, HMRC figures show, suggesting a £12,000 limit might not have a dramatic impact on most people.

However, it does "risk sending a confusing message to savers", says Adam French, head of news at Moneyfactscompare.co.uk.

“For many families, young professionals and pensioners, the full £20,000 allowance may be out of reach, but the principle that they can build a risk-free cash buffer against a volatile world without worrying about future tax changes still matters.”

The ongoing freeze on income tax thresholds mean more Britons face being dragged into higher tax bands. Combined with higher interest rates, savers will find more of their savings interest becomes liable for income tax, making the tax-free ISA wrapper increasingly important.

“Taken together, this feels less like a coherent plan to boost long-term investment and more like a quiet raid on those who are trying to do the right thing,” French said.

“By leaning on frozen thresholds and a lower cash ISA limit, the government is quietly raising revenue off the back of diligent savers, when it should be encouraging responsible financial decisions and a healthier savings and investment culture.”

Read more: 'I've used my annual ISA allowance. How can I shield my savings from tax?'

What time is the Autumn Budget?

Rachel Reeves will deliver the Autumn Budget in the House of Commons on Wednesday (26 November) at around 12:30pm, after Prime Minister’s Questions.

Most budget speeches usually last around an hour, but they could be shorter or longer depending on the content. It took Reeves roughly 80 minutes to deliver her first Budget in 2024.

Once Reeves finishes speaking, the shadow chancellor, currently Conservative MP Mel Stride, is expected to give a rebuttal that will last around 20 minutes. The debate then begins in earnest, likely dominating House business for the week ahead.

Daniel Hilton, junior writer

What has Rachel Reeves said about the Budget – and what could be announced?

Chancellor Rachel Reeves gave a rare pre-Budget speech on 4 November, during which she pledged to cut NHS waiting lists, cut the national debt and cut the cost of living.

She promised a Budget “for growth with fairness at its heart… and a Budget that supports businesses – to create jobs and to innovate”.

However, it’s widely expected that a slew of tax hikes will be announced tomorrow.

In the 2024 Labour Party manifesto, the party promised not to raise National Insurance, the basic, higher, or additional rates of income tax, or VAT, so the chancellor will likely need to look elsewhere.

This could mean extending the ongoing freeze on income tax thresholds, from 2028 to 2030.

Another way the chancellor could boost Treasury coffers is a clampdown on salary sacrifice, or targeting dividend tax or capital gains tax.

There could also be a shake-up to property taxes, inheritance tax, and/or business taxes.

It was rumoured Reeves was considering raising income tax rates by 2p, and cutting National Insurance by the same amount, in a move which could raise £6 billion, according to think tank the Resolution Foundation.

However, the chancellor has reportedly since backed away from this idea.

Read more on potential tax hikes in our guide.

Good afternoon and welcome to MoneyWeek’s Autumn Budget live report. Chancellor Rachel Reeves is due to announce her 2025 Autumn Budget at lunchtime tomorrow, Wednesday 26 November. We will be covering the announcements as they happen, as well as bringing you reaction and analysis.