What to expect from Nvidia’s results

Analysts expect substantial year-over-year increases in Nvidia’s financial results. Can the AI giant keep delivering?

logo of Nvidia is displayed on smartphone screen with price charts in the background
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Nvidia, the world’s largest company by market capitalisation and the effective leader of the artificial intelligence (AI) hardware industry, will announce results for the second quarter (Q2) of its 2027 fiscal year on 26 August.

Shares in Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) gained 11.8% in 2026 through to 24 August. Most of these gains occurred since April; Nvidia’s share price declined during the first four months of 2026, falling below $165 on 30 March as concerns over the impact of the conflict in the Middle East weighed on market confidence.

Nvidia’s earnings releases are always crucial events for the market.

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“Tech investors are shifting uneasily in their seats ahead of Nvidia’s latest results tomorrow,” said Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at wealth manager Wealth Club. “The chip giant has fast become the financial pulse of the AI revolution and, given how heady valuations have become, it has to prove that demand is still accelerating.”

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As the largest stock in the world, any changes in Nvidia’s share price will likely have a meaningful impact on your portfolio, particularly if you own an AI exchange-traded fund or even a broad index fund.

Why are investors watching Nvidia’s results?

Nvidia is almost synonymous with the AI boom, and as such its results can dictate the entire mood of the market. As the de facto leader in advanced AI chips, Nvidia’s results and outlook will signal the strength of demand for AI infrastructure to the wider market.

And there are concerns that need soothing.

“Bumps in the road ahead are becoming more visible,” said Wealth Club’s Streeter. “There’s a growing backlash against data centre construction, there are worries about whether AI-fuelled returns will justify the spending and Chinese chip rivals are marching in for business.”

Nvidia has developed a reputation for beating market expectations; it beat the earnings expectations of analysts polled by market data provider London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) in each of the last four quarters.

That typically has the effect of assuaging any market doubts over the longevity of the AI rally. But with investors increasingly mindful of the amounts that Mag 7 hyperscalers like Alphabet, Amazon, Meta and Microsoft are spending on AI infrastructure, strong results from Nvidia could conceivably prompt a negative share price reaction in some of its biggest customers.

What do analysts expect from Nvidia’s results?

The consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimate among analysts polled by LSEG is of $2.1 for Nvidia’s Q2 results; for those polled by FactSet, it was a similar figure of $2.09.

If earnings come in along these lines, Nvidia would have approximately doubled its profits from the $1.05 EPS the company reported for the equivalent period last year.

Quarterly revenue is expected to rise 97.4% from $46.7 billion to $92.2 billion, according to the LSEG poll.

Markets will likely focus at least as strongly on the forward guidance that Nvidia issues, as this will give the clearest indication of the state of play in the current quarter.

Analysts polled by FactSet produced an average EPS estimate of $2.37 for Q3, similar to the $2.38 consensus among analysts polled by LSEG. Markets may well respond more strongly to deviations from these figures in Nvidia’s guidance than to the reported numbers for Q2 themselves.

Dan McEvoy
Senior Writer

Dan is a financial journalist who, prior to joining MoneyWeek, spent five years writing for OPTO, an investment magazine focused on growth and technology stocks, ETFs and thematic investing.

Before becoming a writer, Dan spent six years working in talent acquisition in the tech sector, including for credit scoring start-up ClearScore where he first developed an interest in personal finance.

Dan studied Social Anthropology and Management at Sidney Sussex College and the Judge Business School, Cambridge University. Outside finance, he also enjoys travel writing, and has edited two published travel books.