Inflation threatens the US earnings boom

America's Big Tech companies reported unexpectedly good second-quarter earnings. But investors are worried that the pandemic sales boom will falter as inflation starts to bite.

People at tables outside a restaurant
Consumption of services is still 7.4% below the pre-pandemic trend
(Image credit: © TOLGA AKMEN/AFP via Getty Images)

A 6.5% rate of GDP growth would usually merit “celebrations in the streets”, says Neil Irwin in The New York Times. Yet America’s second-quarter 6.5% annualised growth disappointed: it was lower than predicted and showed that the recovery is running into “obstacles”.

Shortages of building materials meant that the housing sector “actually contracted” slightly despite huge demand. Getting back to normal is proving a “grind”; consumption of services is still 7.4% below where you would have predicted it to be pre-pandemic, while “spending on durable goods”, which boomed during lockdowns, is 34% higher. Rising cases of the Delta variant in America could also sap the recovery. Investors are recalibrating.

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Markets editor

Alex is an investment writer who has been contributing to MoneyWeek since 2015. He has been the magazine’s markets editor since 2019. 

Alex has a passion for demystifying the often arcane world of finance for a general readership. While financial media tends to focus compulsively on the latest trend, the best opportunities can lie forgotten elsewhere. 

He is especially interested in European equities – where his fluent French helps him to cover the continent’s largest bourse – and emerging markets, where his experience living in Beijing, and conversational Chinese, prove useful. 

Hailing from Leeds, he studied Philosophy, Politics and Economics at the University of Oxford. He also holds a Master of Public Health from the University of Manchester.