Oil prices recover from Covid-19 collapse
The oil price slumped last spring as major economies locked down. But is has now returned to its pre-pandemic level as it hits $60 a barrel.

Oil prices have returned to pre-pandemic levels. The price of the world’s favourite commodity slumped last spring as major economies locked down. US oil futures briefly turned negative as traders found themselves stuck with fuel that nobody wanted. Yet Brent crude prices have rocketed by 180% since their nadir to trade above $60 a barrel this week. Before Covid-19 took hold the contract was trading around $59 a barrel.
Joe Biden’s announcement that he will not lift sanctions on Iran (see page 10) provided the “immediate catalyst” for the latest price bump, says Julia Horowitz on CNN. But the broader rally is all about the vaccines and hopes that big economies are well on the way to returning to normal. On the supply side, oil exporters’ cartel Opec and ally Russia have continued to limit output. Saudi Arabia’s announcement that it will cut output by a further one million barrels per day (mbpd) from this month has provided an extra fillip. Opec and its allies have “held back a cumulative 2.1 billion barrels of oil” since last April, says Justin Harper for the BBC. They didn’t have much choice: air passenger traffic is still down by 70% on last year.
US producers have done their bit too, says Joe Wallace in The Wall Street Journal. The country is “pumping 17% less crude” than it was on the eve of the pandemic as lower prices have forced the closure of less economical wells and halted new exploration.
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE

Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
The medium-term outlook for oil is positive, but expect setbacks along the way. This rally is “overextended”, says David Sheppard in the Financial Times. Prices may be back at pre-pandemic levels, but demand, still six mbpd below 2019 levels, is not. There is “excessive... bullish exuberance” in oil markets, says Stephen Brennock of brokerage PVM. Traders are high on the promise of stimulus.
Get the latest financial news, insights and expert analysis from our award-winning MoneyWeek team, to help you understand what really matters when it comes to your finances.
Alex is an investment writer who has been contributing to MoneyWeek since 2015. He has been the magazine’s markets editor since 2019.
Alex has a passion for demystifying the often arcane world of finance for a general readership. While financial media tends to focus compulsively on the latest trend, the best opportunities can lie forgotten elsewhere.
He is especially interested in European equities – where his fluent French helps him to cover the continent’s largest bourse – and emerging markets, where his experience living in Beijing, and conversational Chinese, prove useful.
Hailing from Leeds, he studied Philosophy, Politics and Economics at the University of Oxford. He also holds a Master of Public Health from the University of Manchester.
-
Norfolk or Norway? Holidays you can afford with different-sized pension pots
Many people look forward to taking more holidays when they retire. But what sort of trips could your pension buy you? We look at the holidays to match different retirement incomes
-
Q&A: Issac Thong – new lead manager of Aberdeen Asian Income Fund
-
Camellia: an unusual tea producer that rewards patient investors
Camellia is shedding its eclectically diverse portfolio of assets to concentrate on its strengths. For investors, it's a rare opportunity
-
8 of the best houses for sale with dining terraces
The best houses for sale with dining terraces – from an Arts & Crafts property in Great Missenden, Buckinghamshire, to a duplex apartment in a garden square in Kensington with a decked roof terrace
-
FRP Advisory Group – a bargain in a booming market
FRP Advisory Group's past and future growth isn’t reflected in the company’s valuation
-
Fifty years of investment fiascos – a few examples to learn from
A benign market backdrop over the past 50 years has not prevented recurrent routs, says Max King
-
US stocks are more expensive than ever after Trump's tariffs
We don’t need to second-guess the effect of Trump's tariffs to think that the rest of the world offers better value
-
How to use SAYE and SIP schemes to multiply your money
Employers’ savings or share-incentive plans like SAYE and SIP schemes can help top up your pension
-
Sizzling sales at Sysco – should you invest in this US food supplier?
The American food distribution group Sysco is expanding rapidly worldwide and is still reasonably valued
-
Top global stocks offering rising income and lasting long-term growth
Opinion Samantha Fitzpatrick, co-manager of the Murray International Trust, selects three global stocks where she’d put her money