Brent crude reached $56.75 a barrel this week, its highest level since last February. Saudi Arabia’s announcement last week that it will cut output by one million barrels per day (mbpd) from February gave crude its best week in four months; Brent is already up by more than 8% since the start of the year.
Saudi Arabia and Russia, the two-leading producers in the Opec+ cartel, have spent much of the past year squabbling about how to respond to the Covid-19 crisis, says Oilprice.com. The Saudis have consistently favoured supply cuts in order to keep prices high, while the Russians argue that strategy will just hand profits over to US shale producers (who operate independently of Opec+). Saudi Arabia’s unilateral cut ends the group’s focus on sharing output curbs equally, with Russia and Kazakhstan set to raise output by 75,000bpd from next month.
Oil markets had a bout of the “hebee-jeebies” earlier this week as parts of China moved back into lockdown, says Stephen Innes of Axi. A durable drop in Chinese activity is a key risk to oil markets. Nevertheless, the scale of the Saudi output cuts provides a decent cushion against bad news. US political developments are also keeping traders optimistic: Democrat control of the Senate means more regulation of US shale producers is likely, which could put a lid on US production. “Risks remain”, but there could be more upside to come.
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
-
Spot the Dog: £67bn in underperforming funds revealedAround 137 funds consistently underperformed their benchmark, BestInvest's Spot the Dog report finds. Which funds are in the dog house?
-
What does a BP and Shell merger mean for the UK oil industry?BP’s struggles have made it vulnerable to a takeover. Could it merge with Shell to create a British behemoth?
-
What does a potential BP and Shell merger mean for the UK oil industry?
BP’s struggles have made it vulnerable to a takeover. Could it merge with Shell to create a British behemoth?
-
Should you invest in emerging markets?Emerging markets offer strong, long-term growth and excellent value, says Rupert Hargreaves
-
How to invest in frontier marketsFrontier markets can be extremely risky, but they offer access to exotic stocks in rapidly developing countries
-
Should you put your trust in investment trusts?British investors have steered clear of investment trusts in recent years. They are missing a trick, says Max King
-
Renewable energy investing: who is paying for the green revolution?Investors in renewables have not been rewarded, says Bruce Packard. Will they fund the government’s plans?
-
The best ways to invest in Vietnam – Asia’s communist dynamoVietnam has long been one of our favourite markets. The prognosis remains auspicious, says Alex Rankine.
-
India is a new global powerhouse — should you invest?India’s growth rate has slowed recently, but there is still ample scope for investors to benefit from its development.
-
Why Chinese stocks are so far out of favourThere’s little appetite for Chinese stocks despite low valuations.
