Funds: it's time to get into Japan

With its banks able to fund themselves, Japan is largely free from the West's current financial problems - and may be at a 'sound starting point' for recovery. Jody Clarke profiles the best funds to buy to get into Japan.

Credit is the lifeblood of the modern economy, which is one reason why we're all in so much trouble. Not many banks are raising lending right now most can't afford to. But Japanese banks are different. Having suffered Japan's huge bust in the early 1990s, they've already been through the pain of deleveraging and balance-sheet repair that most Western banks are only now embarking on. With comparatively clean slates, they lent out 3.7% more year on year last month, and should make a 200bn profit ($2.2bn) in the nine months to December. That's down 80% on 2007, but it's still a profit more than many of their Western peers can boast.

But even though Japan is free from the West's current financial problems, the credit crunch has brought other woes. Chief among them is the battering its export sector is taking from the strong yen in December, Japanese exports fell 35%. Just a year ago, $1 bought 113. Today, it fetches around 90, amid the unwinding of the carry trade where investors borrowed cheaply in yen and invested in high-yielding currencies such as the New Zealand dollar. That's driven up the price of Japanese products abroad, just as US and European consumers are curbing their spending. This is bad news for companies such as Sony, which sells 80% of its products abroad. "With growth in Asia and other emerging economies slowing, there is nothing to support Japanese exports," says Yoshiki Shinke at Daiichi Life Research Institute. Yet exports account for just 18% of Japanese GDP against almost 40% in China and 25% in the UK. So theoretically, Japan shouldn't worry too much about foreigners not buying its products. And because the Japanese have pulled money out of overseas investments, households are sitting on a lot of cash. That should be supportive for both consumer spending and stocks.

Subscribe to MoneyWeek

Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE

Get 6 issues free
https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/flexiimages/mw70aro6gl1676370748.jpg

Sign up to Money Morning

Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter

Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter

Sign up
Jody Clarke

Jody studied at the University of Limerick and was a senior writer for MoneyWeek. Jody is experienced in interviewing, for example digging into the lives of an ex-M15 agent and quirky business owners who have made millions. Jody’s other areas of expertise include advice on funds, stocks and house prices.