Keep some powder dry for the deflationary bust

Plenty of people are convinced that inflation is back on the cards. But it's not, says Bengt Saelensminde. Everything points to deflation.

The City and the media seem to be convinced that inflation is back on the cards. They see the inflation statistics are double what they're supposed to be and assume that means we're in a new era of inflation. But it's a lazy expert that takes today's statistics and extrapolates them forwards. What's required here is a real understanding of what lies behind the data.

Fact is, the pundits may be right in the end. But that's no good if we suffer crushing deflation first. In this game you need to be right and be right at the right time.

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Bengt graduated from Reading University in 1994 and followed up with a master's degree in business economics.

 

He started stock market investing at the age of 13, and this eventually led to a job in the City of London in 1995. He started on a bond desk at Cantor Fitzgerald and ended up running a desk at stockbroker's Cazenove.

 

Bengt left the City in 2000 to start up his own import and beauty products business which he still runs today.