Investors have overdosed on hype
Investors appear to have interpreted the smaller drop in payrolls last month as a sign that recovery isn't far away. Yet this looks wildly premature.
After a long period in which "nobody has worried" about the level of interest rates in America, things have changed, says John Authers in the FT. Interest rate futures now imply that the benchmark US interest rate is virtually certain to rise to at least 0.5% (from today's 0%-0.25%) by the end of the year.
Investors appear to have interpreted the smaller drop in payrolls last month as a sign that recovery isn't far away. Yet this looks wildly premature, given that the jobless rate rose to a greater-than-expected 9.5%, a 26-year high.
Start your trial of MoneyWeek today
Get unparalleled financial insight, analysis and expert opinion you can profit from.
Sign up for MoneyWeek’s free twice-daily newsletter.
Join more than 165,000 subscribers and keep yourself informed with latest financial news, insights and expert analysis to help you understand what really matters when it comes to your finances.
Join more than 165,000 subscribers and keep yourself informed with latest financial news, insights and expert analysis to help you understand what really matters when it comes to your finances.
