Advertisement
Features

Free broadband? Wait until this election campaign really gets going

Labour has added a chunk of BT to the list of things it will renationalise if it wins the election. That probably won’t happen, says John Stepek. But you need a plan B, just in case.

John McDonnell and Jeremy Corbyn © Dan Kitwood/Getty Images
Labour probably won't win the election. But you need a plan just in case they do.

Britain is enduring a much-needed election. You might have noticed.

Since the financial crisis, we've got used to elections being all about sackcloth and ashes.

Austerity. Cuts. Taking away your house to pay for your elderly care.

All policies that might be poorly implemented or ill thought through in the first place, but which do involve some nod to the notion that we can't just stick it all on the credit card forever.

Advertisement - Article continues below

Problem is, voters don't like that. And eventually, politicians particularly the more flamboyant sort cannot help themselves but play to the crowd.

That's why this election is all about the spending. Which brings us to the latest wheeze "free" broadband for all!

Have some free stuff all paid for by taxpayers

This morning, the Labour Party added a chunk of BT to the list of things it plans to renationalise if and when it gets into power.

We're already looking at renationalised water utilities, railways, National Grid and Royal Mail. Now we're looking at BT Openreach the broadband network too. The goal would be to give everyone in the UK free full-fibre broadband by 2030.

Advertisement
Advertisement - Article continues below

The potential cost of the nationalisation is debated, as it always is. The people who plan to take control of the asset the Labour Party say it will cost less than it probably will.

They've got the cost of the roll-out at more than £20bn, while the cost of the part-nationalisation would be set by Parliament, and paid for with government bonds.

Advertisement - Article continues below

The people who own the asset BT shareholders (or at least their representatives, in the form of the management) say it will cost more than it probably will. At the moment, figures of close to £100bn are being bandied about.

Meanwhile, the cost of maintaining the network will be funded by a new tax on the current public enemy number one, the tech multinationals.

I'm not sure what form this tax will take, given that we're currently struggling to tax them properly and it's an issue that lots of clever people have been looking at. But let's not worry about the details right now.

So what's the upshot of all this? The upshot is you get a load of brief headlines about "free broadband", as though the minute a Labour government gets into power, your Wi-Fi will suddenly be a lot better and also free of charge.

And being cynical about it as you should be that's the point.

Advertisement - Article continues below

Look, I'm entirely open to talking about the best way to own and run aspects of the economy. The "private vs public" ownership debate is frequently couched in overly simplistic terms, with one being bad and one being good depending on which side of the political fence you're on.

Advertisement
Advertisement - Article continues below

But this isn't being driven by finding the best solution to a tricky set of problems. It's being driven by ideology and the ability to promise "free" stuff ahead of an election. That's it.

As the FT notes, "Mr McDonnell said that this latest nationalisation was the limit of our ambitions'". However, as the paper also adds, that's exactly what he said in July after Labour talked about nationalising the water companies. To wit: "This is the limit of our ambition when it comes to nationalisation."

It'll be interesting to see just what else we're told we can get for "free" in the next few weeks.

Make sure you have a Plan B

From an investor's point of view, the main question here is: how likely is this to happen?

Advertisement - Article continues below

At the moment, according to the polls, the answer to that is "not very". That's presumably why BT's share price has recovered relatively quickly from an early panic-spike lower.

Of course, as we all know, polls may not reflect what happens on the night. So what can you do about it?

Realistically, anyone holding BT at the moment has to be aware that it's not exactly a company without its troubles.

So if you were still happy enough hanging on through the stock (and I'll warn you that I haven't done enough research into BT itself to give you a high-conviction view on it as yet), then I'm not sure this added threat should make a lot of difference to your investment case.

As for the wider risk of a Labour government all that this BT plan demonstrates is that the current manifesto is just the tip of the iceberg.

Advertisement - Article continues below

A few investment banks persuaded themselves a month or so ago, that a Corbyn government would be less of a risk than a "no deal" Brexit. Their idea was that Corbyn's bark would be worse than his bite. That when in power, the courts or reality or coalition partners would act as restraints on his ambitions to roll back capitalism.

Even if we put aside the fact that "no deal" Brexit appears to be pretty much off the table now, that now surely seems terribly naive.

I suspect that we won't get a Corbyn government next month. However, if we do, investors need to understand that they cannot take their property rights for granted. And that means having some sort of plan right now for your most vulnerable assets.

We've looked at this several times in MoneyWeek magazine over the last few months. If you're not already a subscriber you can get your first 12 issues for £12 here.

Also don't miss our all-day Wealth Summit. It's next Friday. If you haven't booked your ticket yet, hurry the last few are going fast!

Advertisement
Advertisement

Recommended

How long can the good times roll?
Economy

How long can the good times roll?

Despite all the doom and gloom that has dominated our headlines for most of 2019, Britain and most of the rest of the developing world is currently en…
19 Dec 2019
Money Minute Wednesday 4 December: Britain's economic sentiment and American job figures
Economy

Money Minute Wednesday 4 December: Britain's economic sentiment and American job figures

Today's Money Minute looks ahead to the UK's latest all-sector PMI survey, and America's private payrolls report.
4 Dec 2019
Beyond the Brexit talk, the British economy isn’t doing too badly
Economy

Beyond the Brexit talk, the British economy isn’t doing too badly

The political Brexit pantomime aside, Britain is in pretty good shape. With near-record employment, strong wage growth and modest inflation, there is …
17 Oct 2019
UK house prices hit a new record high – can it last?
House prices

UK house prices hit a new record high – can it last?

Despite the pandemic, UK house prices have hit a new high. John Stepek looks at what’s driving the surge in prices, and what it means for house prices…
7 Aug 2020

Most Popular

Don’t despair on dividends – these companies could be set to bring them back
Income investing

Don’t despair on dividends – these companies could be set to bring them back

The value of dividends paid out by UK stocks has plummeted this year as companies “rebase” their payment policies. But things could soon start to look…
6 Aug 2020
Platinum: the precious metal that looks set to play catch-up with silver and gold
Silver and other precious metals

Platinum: the precious metal that looks set to play catch-up with silver and gold

Gold and silver continue to soar, but there's still time to get in. And there's another precious metal that looks set to go on a bull run too, says Jo…
7 Aug 2020
The MoneyWeek Podcast: how to age well and profit from the “longevity dividend”
Investment strategy

The MoneyWeek Podcast: how to age well and profit from the “longevity dividend”

Merryn talks to economist and author Andrew J Scott and discusses how we can profit from the "longevity dividend" as we live longer; why we need to re…
6 Aug 2020