Betting on politics: Be realistic

Regardless of your feelings for the government, you have to admit, a Tory landslide is probable, says Matthew Partridge.

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The Conservatives spy victory
(Image credit: 2017 Getty Images)

One of the most important rules of political betting (or indeed of any kind) is that you need to acknowledge what is likely to happen rather than betting simply on what you'd like to happen. So most of my tips for the general election are based on the probability of a Conservative landslide.

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Dr Matthew Partridge
Shares editor, MoneyWeek

Matthew graduated from the University of Durham in 2004; he then gained an MSc, followed by a PhD at the London School of Economics.

He has previously written for a wide range of publications, including the Guardian and the Economist, and also helped to run a newsletter on terrorism. He has spent time at Lehman Brothers, Citigroup and the consultancy Lombard Street Research.

Matthew is the author of Superinvestors: Lessons from the greatest investors in history, published by Harriman House, which has been translated into several languages. His second book, Investing Explained: The Accessible Guide to Building an Investment Portfolio, is published by Kogan Page.

As senior writer, he writes the shares and politics & economics pages, as well as weekly Blowing It and Great Frauds in History columns He also writes a fortnightly reviews page and trading tips, as well as regular cover stories and multi-page investment focus features.

Follow Matthew on Twitter: @DrMatthewPartri