Markets have recovered their poise, but investors haven’t

There is still too much talk of central banking, radical monetary policy, and how quickly we can implement it, says John Stepek.

This week, most developed markets either hit record highs, or at least their highs for the year. Looking back, it's hard to believe that 2016 saw one of the nastiest starts on record just two months ago, headlines shrieked that global stocks had entered a "bear" market (having fallen by 20%). But while markets have recovered their poise, investors haven't. All the talk remains of central banking, radical monetary policy, and how quickly we can implement it.

A report from Deutsche Bank last week argued that obstacles to full-blown "helicopter money" where central banks print money to fund government or consumer spending directly are largely political, that money printing "has strong historical precedent" (Japan's early escape from the Great Depression in the 1930s being the main example) and that we should actively harness "the infinite power of central-bank balance sheets". The San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank recently argued that the US central bank under Janet Yellen could achieve healthy US growth more rapidly by allowing "inflation to rise temporarily above" its 2% target rate.

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John Stepek

John Stepek is a senior reporter at Bloomberg News and a former editor of MoneyWeek magazine. He graduated from Strathclyde University with a degree in psychology in 1996 and has always been fascinated by the gap between the way the market works in theory and the way it works in practice, and by how our deep-rooted instincts work against our best interests as investors.

He started out in journalism by writing articles about the specific business challenges facing family firms. In 2003, he took a job on the finance desk of Teletext, where he spent two years covering the markets and breaking financial news.

His work has been published in Families in Business, Shares magazine, Spear's Magazine, The Sunday Times, and The Spectator among others. He has also appeared as an expert commentator on BBC Radio 4's Today programme, BBC Radio Scotland, Newsnight, Daily Politics and Bloomberg. His first book, on contrarian investing, The Sceptical Investor, was released in March 2019. You can follow John on Twitter at @john_stepek.