Why emerging markets are now lagging the West

The mood on emerging markets has changed for the worse lately, as inflation and political unrest makes nervous investors seek shelter in more developed economies. But while emerging markets are certainly performing worse than their Western peers, says Cris Sholto Heaton, that doesn't mean the boom is over.

"Asia's hyperinflation problem," yelled one particularly sensational headline I saw last week. And with that, I knew that the mood on emerging markets had definitely changed for the worse.

The latest Merrill Lynch fund manager survey bears this out. Investors have made a sharp turn in their allocations, favouring developed world shares over emerging ones. Just 5% said they were overweight emerging markets, compared with 34% for the US and 11% for Europe.

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Cris Sholto Heaton

Cris Sholto Heaton is an investment analyst and writer who has been contributing to MoneyWeek since 2006 and was managing editor of the magazine between 2016 and 2018. He is especially interested in international investing, believing many investors still focus too much on their home markets and that it pays to take advantage of all the opportunities the world offers. He often writes about Asian equities, international income and global asset allocation.

Cris began his career in financial services consultancy at PwC and Lane Clark & Peacock, before an abrupt change of direction into oil, gas and energy at Petroleum Economist and Platts and subsequently into investment research and writing. In addition to his articles for MoneyWeek, he also works with a number of asset managers, consultancies and financial information providers.

He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst designation and the Investment Management Certificate, as well as degrees in finance and mathematics. He has also studied acting, film-making and photography, and strongly suspects that an awareness of what makes a compelling story is just as important for understanding markets as any amount of qualifications.