Why the commodities boom is different this time

The pessimists believe that the commodities bull run is coming to an end. But it really is different this time, says Martin Spring in the On Target newsletter.

Investors in commodities have done extraordinarily well in recent years. Gold has risen 117 per cent since its trough, copper 274 per cent and oil an amazing 560 per cent. The soaring share prices of oil and mining companies have reflected those higher values. Last year all the capital growth in the US stock market as a whole came from commodity stocks.

But the sell-off of metals and energy resources last week "stirred talk that the commodities bull run of recent years may be faltering, as the spectre of further (interest) rate rises causes growth to slow and reduces demand for raw materials," Kevin Morrison reported in the Financial Times.

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