The price of gold is ready to rebound
Despite a recent rally the price of gold is still 10% below its all-time high of summer 2020. But the year-long correction may be nearing its end as inflation really starts to bite.
The gold price has climbed to a two-month high of $1,825/oz. Despite the recent uptick gold is still 10% below its all-time high of summer 2020. As Myra Saefong notes in Barron’s, 2021 is set to be the metal’s first losing year since 2018. Its recent “drubbing” is perplexing, says John Authers on Bloomberg. Conditions over the last year should have boosted gold, which does best at times of high inflation (check) and monetary debasement (check). Instead, gold-mining stocks have been the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500 over the last year. Still, something might be about to shift. The ratio of US stocks to gold is running at a 16-year high, more proof, if any were needed, that American stocks are historically overpriced.
Gold bulls had been betting on widespread “revulsion” for paper currencies in the wake of massive money-printing by central banks, says Randall Forsyth in Barron’s. That revulsion has come, but it seems to have boosted cryptocurrencies (dubbed “digital gold”) rather than gold. “Fans of gold…arguably are the most contrary investors” and, at present, “perhaps the loneliest”.
Gold got carried away during the 2018-2020 bull run, says Eoin Treacy of Fuller Treacy Money. After a 75% jump it became overheated in summer last year. Still, this correction may be nearing its end after 18 months, “it is a good time to start looking at the sector again”.
Subscribe to MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Sign up to Money Morning
Our team, led by award winning editors, is dedicated to delivering you the top news, analysis, and guides to help you manage your money, grow your investments and build wealth.
Alex is an investment writer who has been contributing to MoneyWeek since 2015. He has been the magazine’s markets editor since 2019.
Alex has a passion for demystifying the often arcane world of finance for a general readership. While financial media tends to focus compulsively on the latest trend, the best opportunities can lie forgotten elsewhere.
He is especially interested in European equities – where his fluent French helps him to cover the continent’s largest bourse – and emerging markets, where his experience living in Beijing, and conversational Chinese, prove useful.
Hailing from Leeds, he studied Philosophy, Politics and Economics at the University of Oxford. He also holds a Master of Public Health from the University of Manchester.
-
Christmas at Chatsworth: review of The Cavendish Hotel at Baslow
MoneyWeek Travel Matthew Partridge gets into the festive spirit at The Cavendish Hotel at Baslow and the Christmas market at Chatsworth
By Dr Matthew Partridge Published
-
Tycoon Truong My Lan on death row over world’s biggest bank fraud
Property tycoon Truong My Lan has been found guilty of a corruption scandal that dwarfs Malaysia’s 1MDB fraud and Sam Bankman-Fried’s crypto scam
By Jane Lewis Published
-
Why undersea cables are under threat – and how to protect them
Undersea cables power the internet and are vital to modern economies. They are now vulnerable
By Simon Wilson Published
-
Warren Buffet invests in Domino’s – should you buy?
What makes Domino's a compelling investment for Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway, and should you buy the UK-listed takeaway pizza chain?
By Dr Matthew Partridge Published
-
4Imprint makes a strong impression – should you buy?
4Imprint, a specialist in marketing promotional products, is the leader in a fragmented field
By Dr Mike Tubbs Published
-
Invest in Glencore: a cheap play on global growth
Glencore looks historically cheap, yet the group’s prospects remain encouraging
By Rupert Hargreaves Published
-
Should you invest in Trainline?
Ticket seller Trainline offers a useful service – and good prospects for investors
By Dr Matthew Partridge Published
-
Key takeaways from the MoneyWeek Summit 2024: Investing in a dangerous world
If you couldn’t get a ticket to MoneyWeek’s summit, here’s an overview of what you missed
By MoneyWeek Published
-
DCC: a top-notch company going cheap
DCC has a stellar long-term record and promising prospects. It has been unfairly marked down
By Jamie Ward Published
-
How investors can use options to navigate a turbulent world
Explainer Options can be a useful solution for investors to protect and grow their wealth in volatile times.
By James Proudlock Published