Singapore's economy will bounce back
Singapore has been battered by the collapse of global trade, and its main stockmarket index has lost a fifth this year. But analysts are feeling positive.
By Singapore standards, last Friday’s election delivered a surprising result, writes Hannah Beech in The New York Times. The ruling People’s Action Party won again, but by a “narrower margin than usual”. With only 27 deaths for a population of 5.8 million, the virus is not the problem, says William Pesek in Nikkei Asian Review. But as one of the world’s “most cosmopolitan city-states”, Singapore looks vulnerable to the rising forces of deglobalisation. The electorate is dissatisfied with high living costs, while an economic model supported by “cheap, imported labour” has stoked social tensions. With neighbours Indonesia and Vietnam developing fast, Singapore is starting to look like “an expensive enclave in a more affordable neighbourhood”.
A small and open economy, Singapore has been battered by the collapse of global trade. GDP plummeted by 41.2% on an annualised basis during the second quarter. The Straits Times index has lost a fifth this year. Still, analysts are feeling positive, says Abhishek Vishnoi on Bloomberg. The election has yielded a parliament with more opposition MPs, mitigating the usual problems of “groupthink”, says Justin Tang of United First Partners. The boost to Singapore’s democratic credentials from a more credible opposition will enhance its bid to supplant Hong Kong as Asia’s top financial centre, adds economist Prasenjit Basu.
MoneyWeek
Subscribe to MoneyWeek today and get your first six magazine issues absolutely FREE
Sign up to Money Morning
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Don't miss the latest investment and personal finances news, market analysis, plus money-saving tips with our free twice-daily newsletter
Get the latest financial news, insights and expert analysis from our award-winning MoneyWeek team, to help you understand what really matters when it comes to your finances.
Alex is an investment writer who has been contributing to MoneyWeek since 2015. He has been the magazine’s markets editor since 2019.
Alex has a passion for demystifying the often arcane world of finance for a general readership. While financial media tends to focus compulsively on the latest trend, the best opportunities can lie forgotten elsewhere.
He is especially interested in European equities – where his fluent French helps him to cover the continent’s largest bourse – and emerging markets, where his experience living in Beijing, and conversational Chinese, prove useful.
Hailing from Leeds, he studied Philosophy, Politics and Economics at the University of Oxford. He also holds a Master of Public Health from the University of Manchester.
-
Chen Zhi: the kingpin of a global conspiracyChen Zhi appeared to be a business prodigy investing in everything from real estate to airlines. Prosecutors allege he is the head of something more sinister
-
Canadian stocks for a new era of deglobalisationGreg Eckel, portfolio manager at Canadian General Investments, selects three Canadian stocks
-
Chen Zhi: the kingpin of a global conspiracyChen Zhi appeared to be a business prodigy investing in everything from real estate to airlines. Prosecutors allege he is the head of something more sinister
-
Canada will be a winner in this new era of deglobalisation and populismGreg Eckel, portfolio manager at Canadian General Investments, selects three Canadian stocks
-
Jim O’Neill on nearly 25 years of the BRICSJim O’Neill, who coined the acronym BRICS in 2001, tells MoneyWeek how the group is progressing
-
Build or innovate? How to solve the productivity puzzleOpinion There are two main schools of thought when it comes to solving the productivity puzzle, says David C. Stevenson
-
More clouds gather over renewable energy trusts – is there any hope for the sector?The outlook for renewable energy trusts has gone from bad to worse this year, with the industry being caught in a 'perfect storm'
-
Should ISA investors be forced to hold UK shares?The UK government would like ISA investors to hold more UK stocks – but many of us are already overexposed
-
Why Scotland's proposed government bonds are a terrible investmentOpinion Politicians in Scotland pushing for “kilts” think it will strengthen the case for independence and boost financial credibility. It's more likely to backfire
-
How Germany became the new sick man of EuropeFriedrich Merz, Germany's Keir Starmer, seems unable to tackle the deep-seated economic problems the country is facing. What happens next?