Singapore's economy will bounce back

By Singapore standards, last Friday’s election delivered a surprising result, writes Hannah Beech in The New York Times. The ruling People’s Action Party won again, but by a “narrower margin than usual”. With only 27 deaths for a population of 5.8 million, the virus is not the problem, says William Pesek in Nikkei Asian Review. But as one of the world’s “most cosmopolitan city-states”, Singapore looks vulnerable to the rising forces of deglobalisation. The electorate is dissatisfied with high living costs, while an economic model supported by “cheap, imported labour” has stoked social tensions. With neighbours Indonesia and Vietnam developing fast, Singapore is starting to look like “an expensive enclave in a more affordable neighbourhood”.

A small and open economy, Singapore has been battered by the collapse of global trade. GDP plummeted by 41.2% on an annualised basis during the second quarter. The Straits Times index has lost a fifth this year. Still, analysts are feeling positive, says Abhishek Vishnoi on Bloomberg. The election has yielded a parliament with more opposition MPs, mitigating the usual problems of “groupthink”, says Justin Tang of United First Partners. The boost to Singapore’s democratic credentials from a more credible opposition will enhance its bid to supplant Hong Kong as Asia’s top financial centre, adds economist Prasenjit Basu.

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Alex is an investment writer who has been contributing to MoneyWeek since 2015. He has been the magazine’s markets editor since 2019.

Alex has a passion for demystifying the often arcane world of finance for a general readership. While financial media tends to focus compulsively on the latest trend, the best opportunities can lie forgotten elsewhere.

He is especially interested in European equities – where his fluent French helps him to cover the continent’s largest bourse – and emerging markets, where his experience living in Beijing, and conversational Chinese, prove useful.

Hailing from Leeds, he studied Philosophy, Politics and Economics at the University of Oxford. He also holds a Master of Public Health from the University of Manchester.