Will the euro split?

The euro looks stable for the time being, says Lord William Rees-Mogg. But taking a 10-year view, there’s a very real danger of a split into two Europes. So why is this risk is not being priced into the market?

There is a table in the Financial Times that everyone ought to follow, though it refers to fixed interest securities and moves rather slowly. It is something I regard as a thinking point. It portrays one of the core relationships of global finance, and it is always worth asking oneself why the relationships are what they are, and why they have moved as they have moved.

The table is to be found on page 37 of the FT for April 2, and is always to be found on the page labeled "Market Data," along with global equity prices, volatility indexes, and variegated statistics. It is labeled "Ten Year Gov't Bond Spreads." It lists the yields on 21 different government bonds, all with a 10-year life.

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William Rees-Mogg was Editor of The Times from 1967 to 1981. He served as High Sheriff of Somerset and was Chairman of the Arts Council of Great Britain. He was the father of the politicians Sir Jacob and Annunziata Rees-Mogg.