Gamble of the week: Britain's biggest rail operator

This British operator of trains and buses has more than its share of problems. But the bad news is already in the price, says Phil Oakley.

FirstGroup is in big trouble. It is paying the price for overextending itself during the last decade. A borrowing binge has seen it become the biggest school bus operator in the US, while an aggressive bidding strategy has made it the UK's biggest rail operator.

Now, profits are falling in its UK bus and rail divisions, and a big dividend cut looms. The company's bid to win the West Coast rail franchise was an act of desperation to keep funding a dividend that it could not afford to pay. It arguably threatened the solvency of the business.

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Phil spent 13 years as an investment analyst for both stockbroking and fund management companies.

 

After graduating with a MSc in International Banking, Economics & Finance from Liverpool Business School in 1996, Phil went to work for BWD Rensburg, a Liverpool based investment manager. In 2001, he joined ABN AMRO as a transport analyst. After a brief spell as a food retail analyst, he spent five years with ABN's very successful UK Smaller Companies team where he covered engineering, transport and support services stocks.

 

In 2007, Phil joined Halbis Capital Management as a European equities analyst. He began writing for MoneyWeek in 2010.